TongKun Group Co Ltd (601233) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 56.0B CNY (≈ $8.4B) · ISIN CNE1000012X7
What is TongKun Group Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 79% above our fair value of ¥14.53.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +13.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.16). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.00 – ¥27.91 · fair‑value band ¥10.89 – ¥18.16 · the ¥26.00 price screens above the ¥14.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TongKun Group Co Ltd (601233) currently trades at ¥26.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.53, implying the stock looks roughly 79.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥18.80 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥26.00 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥6.70, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, TongKun Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 97.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 20.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. Net debt stands at 35.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥10.89 (bear case) to ¥18.16 (bull case); at ¥26.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 151% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −44%, 601233 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.8662 per share, which is 6.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥18.80) versus Economic Profit (¥6.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tongkun Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells civilian polyester filament yarns in China and internationally. It offers civilian polyester filaments, including polyester pre-oriented yarn (POY), polyester fully drawn yarn, polyester series of polyester POY, polyester stretch textured yarn, polyester composite yarn, ITY, and medium-strength yarn.
Full company description
Tongkun Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells civilian polyester filament yarns in China and internationally. It offers civilian polyester filaments, including polyester pre-oriented yarn (POY), polyester fully drawn yarn, polyester series of polyester POY, polyester stretch textured yarn, polyester composite yarn, ITY, and medium-strength yarn. It also provides terephthalic acid, ethylene glycol, and other products. The company's products are used in the manufacture of clothing fabrics and home textile products, as well as industrial use. It sells its products under the GOLDENCOCK and Tongkun brands. The company was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Tongxiang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TongKun Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 93.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 59.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0B CNY in FY2025, compounding −27.8%/yr from FY2021.
601233 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 332 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$37.94 | HK$68.35 | +80% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.95 | ¥14.35 | +11% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,124 | ₹467.49 | −58% |
| HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 | ¥71.55 | ¥11.85 | −83% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥4.89 | ¥2.21 | −55% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹592.75 | ₹437.53 | −26% |
| Albany International Corp AIN | $59.92 | $18.40 | −69% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 324.31 TRY | +86% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹190.40 | ₹47.44 | −75% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥7.88 | ¥7.87 | +0% |
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