HMT(Xiamen)New Technical (603306) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 25.7B CNY (≈ $3.8B) · ISIN CNE100001T07
What is HMT(Xiamen)New Technical really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 504% above our fair value of ¥11.85.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +6.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥16.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (¥8.28 to ¥16.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥15.53 – ¥118.39 · fair‑value band ¥8.28 – ¥16.64 · the ¥71.57 price screens above the ¥11.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
HMT(Xiamen)New Technical (603306) currently trades at ¥71.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.85, implying the stock looks roughly 503.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥15.36 per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the ¥71.57 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.29, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, HMT(Xiamen)New Technical generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at 761M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.28 (bear case) to ¥16.64 (bull case); at ¥71.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −83%, 603306 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1759 per share, which is 1.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥15.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when 603306 reaches fair value
Put 603306 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells fabrics in China and internationally. It offers automotive safety airbag fabrics, airbags/OPWs, seat belts, bulletproof fabrics, mesh clothes and other industrial fabrics.
Full company description
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells fabrics in China and internationally. It offers automotive safety airbag fabrics, airbags/OPWs, seat belts, bulletproof fabrics, mesh clothes and other industrial fabrics. The company was formerly known as Huamao (Xiamen) Technical Textile Co., Ltd and changed its name to HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd in 2010. HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd was founded in 2002 and is based in Xiamen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HMT(Xiamen)New Technical reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +20.0%/yr. Reported net income was 218M CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.6 % · buybacks/dilution −3.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
603306 screens 504% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →
Peer Group
Textile Manufacturing · 332 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shenzhou International Group 2313 | HK$37.94 | HK$68.35 | +80% |
| Tongkun Group 601233 | ¥22.67 | ¥14.53 | −36% |
| Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 | ¥12.95 | ¥14.35 | +11% |
| K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL | ₹1,124 | ₹467.49 | −58% |
| Zhejiang Orient Holdings 600120 | ¥4.89 | ¥2.21 | −55% |
| Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL | ₹592.75 | ₹437.53 | −26% |
| Albany International Corp AIN | $59.92 | $18.40 | −69% |
| Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO | 174.20 TRY | 324.31 TRY | +86% |
| Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV | ₹190.40 | ₹47.44 | −75% |
| Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 | ¥7.88 | ¥7.87 | +0% |
Compare HMT(Xiamen)New Technical with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is HMT(Xiamen)New Technical (603306) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 603306?
What is the quality score of 603306?
What is the revenue of HMT(Xiamen)New Technical (603306)?
What is the net profit margin of 603306?
Does HMT(Xiamen)New Technical pay a dividend?
Watch HMT(Xiamen)New Technical in the live analysis
One click puts HMT(Xiamen)New Technical on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.