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Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd (600120) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 17.7B CNY (≈ $2.6B) · ISIN CNE000000V06

What is Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd really worth?

ZO Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd 600120 · SHG
Price¥4.92
Fair Value¥2.21
Upside−55.1%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 123% above our fair value of ¥2.21.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 55.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −6.9 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

For context

·1.71% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.71 – ¥2.93

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −5.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥9.03 ¥3.12 Fair Value ¥2.21 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.12 – ¥9.03 · fair‑value band ¥1.71 – ¥2.93 · the ¥4.92 price screens above the ¥2.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd (600120) currently trades at ¥4.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.21, implying the stock looks roughly 122.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥4.55 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥4.92 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.9200, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 55.7%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at 3.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.71 (bear case) to ¥2.93 (bull case); at ¥4.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −55%, 600120 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1326 per share, which is 6.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥2.02 ¥2.78 ¥4.27 80
Growth DCF ¥2.11 ¥2.85 ¥4.18 79
Owner Earnings ¥3.02 ¥4.13 ¥6.33 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.02 ¥2.78 ¥4.27 80
Owner Earnings ¥3.02 ¥4.13 ¥6.33 76
5Y Revenue Exit ¥0.9500 ¥1.16 ¥1.47 74
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.49 ¥2.08 ¥2.89 76
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.13 ¥4.88 ¥7.02 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.34 ¥1.57 ¥1.80 68
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.68 ¥2.17 ¥2.69 70
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.69 ¥3.98 ¥5.29 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.86 ¥2.84 ¥3.39 67
EPV ¥0.7800 ¥0.9200 ¥1.05 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.13 ¥1.31 ¥1.53 69
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.13 ¥1.48 ¥1.93 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.52 ¥6.02 ¥7.53 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.4300 ¥0.5700 ¥0.7200 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.49 ¥4.65 ¥5.82 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.27 ¥1.72 ¥2.17 66
EV/EBITDA ¥1.37 ¥1.85 ¥2.33 67
EV/Revenue ¥0.3300 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6700 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.42 ¥3.24 ¥4.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.11 ¥2.85 ¥4.18 79
Rev-Margin DCF ¥0.9500 ¥1.21 ¥1.56 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.79 ¥3.89 ¥3.88 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.7800 ¥0.9200 ¥1.05 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.18 ¥4.55 ¥5.91 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥4.55) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.9200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.6
P/S ratio 10.1 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.6
Dividend yield 1.7% payout 30.0%
Net margin 57.3% FY2025
Return on equity 5.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% avg 5y
Operating margin −1.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8% 3y avg −56.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 720M CNY FY2025
Net debt 3.1B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 4.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Zhejiang Orient Holdings Group Co., Ltd. engages in the financial and quasi-financial businesses in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Zhejiang Orient Holdings Group Co., Ltd. engages in the financial and quasi-financial businesses in the People's Republic of China. The company offers commodity and financial futures brokerage, futures investment, consulting, asset management, risk management, and overseas financial services; and life insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance products. It is also involved in trust, reinsurance, and fund investment businesses; managing VC, PE, government-guided funds, and PIPE funds; and develops various strategies, covering fund of funds, long-only equity, offline IPO, discretionary futures, and quantitative strategies. In addition, the company provides asset management and investment management; financial leasing, operating leasing, lease transaction consulting, commercial factoring; and core wealth collaboration platform. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Orient Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Zhejiang Orient Holdings Group Co., Ltd. in December 2025. Zhejiang Orient Holdings Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 17.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound −44.9%/yr. Reported net income was 935M CNY in FY2025, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−22.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+1.4% (−0.3 + 1.7)
Revenue −44.9%/yr
FY21 17.7B CNY
FY22 19.9B CNY
FY23 16.2B CNY
FY24 8.2B CNY
FY25 1.6B CNY
Net income +9.2%/yr
FY21 656M CNY
FY22 947M CNY
FY23 536M CNY
FY24 936M CNY
FY25 935M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −3.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.5 %

of which total revenue +4.9 % · buybacks/dilution −6.1 %

EBIT margin −8.8 %
Tax rate +3.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600120 screens 123% overvalued. Compare with Shenzhou International Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600120

Peer Group

Textile Manufacturing · 332 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets −1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Textile Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.07× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.64× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 4
FUTURE39 · sector 0
PAST20 · sector 15
HEALTH77 · sector 95
DIVIDEND34 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Textile Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shenzhou International Group 2313 HK$37.94 HK$68.35 +80%
Tongkun Group 601233 ¥22.67 ¥14.53 −36%
Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co 600295 ¥12.95 ¥14.35 +11%
K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL ₹1,124 ₹467.49 −58%
HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co 603306 ¥71.55 ¥11.85 −83%
Vardhman Textiles Limited VTL ₹592.75 ₹437.53 −26%
Albany International Corp AIN $59.92 $18.40 −69%
Isiklar Enerji ve Yapi Holding IEYHO 174.20 TRY 324.31 TRY +86%
Welspun Living Limited WELSPUNLIV ₹190.40 ₹47.44 −75%
Bros Eastern.,Ltd 601339 ¥7.88 ¥7.87 +0%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd (600120) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.21 versus a price of ¥4.92, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600120?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd is ¥2.21 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.92.
What is the quality score of 600120?
Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd (600120)?
Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600120?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd is about 55.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 55.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Orient Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.71% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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