Albertsons Companies (ACI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.4B · ISIN US0130911037
What is Albertsons Companies really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $12.64.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from $7.02 to $12.64 (+80.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.03 – $24.68 · fair‑value band $12.58 – $20.97 · the $12.59 price screens below the $12.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Albertsons Companies (ACI) currently trades at $12.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.64, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $9.96 per share, and 4 of the 21 models we run sit above the $12.59 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.44, and 17 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Albertsons Companies generated revenue of $83.2B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.58 (bear case) to $20.97 (bull case); at $12.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 0%, ACI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($9.96) versus Growth DCF ($2.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services.
Full company description
Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services. It also operates stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, ACME, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and in-store pharmacies and branded coffee shops, fuel centers, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms. Albertsons Companies, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Albertsons Companies reported revenue of $83.2B in FY2026 versus $71.9B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $217M in FY2026, compounding −39.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Safeway closing more stores as Albertsons reshapes footprint after failed Kroger merger
- Albertsons® Companies Helps Customers Prepare for Fall with Free Flu Immunizations and Grocery Savings
- Albertsons (ACI) Stock May Be No Bargain With Earnings Rich And Shares Down 39%
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$60.79 | C$44.44 | −27% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €30.57 | €53.50 | +75% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $57.72 | $28.19 | −51% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$40.32 | A$8.33 | −79% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$98.50 | C$147.70 | +50% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$88.26 | C$94.01 | +7% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €15.63 | €11.19 | −28% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.81 SGD | 2.35 SGD | +30% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 418.25 TRY | 267.12 TRY | −36% |
| Kesko Oyj KESKOA | €21.25 | €11.62 | −45% |
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