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Albertsons Companies (ACI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $7.4B · ISIN US0130911037

What is Albertsons Companies really worth?

AC Albertsons Companies logo Albertsons Companies ACI · US
Price$12.59
Fair Value$12.64
Upside+0.4%
Quality53/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $12.64.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.3% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Narrow moat 32/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·4.77% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $12.58 – $20.97

Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 17, 2026, revised from $7.02 to $12.64 (+80.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.68 $11.03 Fair Value $12.64 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.03 – $24.68 · fair‑value band $12.58 – $20.97 · the $12.59 price screens below the $12.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Albertsons Companies (ACI) currently trades at $12.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.64, implying the stock looks roughly 0.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $9.96 per share, and 4 of the 21 models we run sit above the $12.59 price. Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.44, and 17 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Albertsons Companies generated revenue of $83.2B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.58 (bear case) to $20.97 (bull case); at $12.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 0%, ACI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $2.62 $13.77 77
Growth DCF $2.44 $13.02 75
Residual Income $3.43 $3.90 $5.98 75
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $2.62 $13.77 77
Owner Earnings $6.63 $20.70 $42.25 70
5Y Revenue Exit $4.11 $14.98 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $26.38 $63.25 $107.97 72
5Y P/E Exit $0.6200 68
10Y Revenue Exit $2.65 $13.27 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $14.82 $43.50 $84.81 63
10Y P/E Exit $2.22 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.02 $10.93 $14.74 64
Lynch FV $2.59 $3.70 $4.81 61
PEG = 1.0 $2.59 $3.70 $4.81 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.79 $11.53 $17.46 67
DDM Multi-Stage $5.79 $9.96 $12.17 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.99 $9.32 $11.65 63
P/S Multiple $5.66 $7.55 $9.43 58
P/B Multiple $5.66 $7.55 $9.43 55
EV/EBIT $1.85 $8.06 $14.27 59
EV/EBITDA $50.04 $72.31 $94.59 67
EV/Revenue $2.22 $7.91 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.87 $2.51 $3.75 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.44 $13.02 75
Economic Profit
Residual Income $3.43 $3.90 $5.98 75
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.91 $7.02 $9.12 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($9.96) versus Growth DCF ($2.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 37.6 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 0.10 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.4000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 37.6
Dividend yield 4.8% payout 150%
Net margin 0.3% FY2026
Return on equity 8.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $83.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.7% 3y avg +2.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −20.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $527M FY2026
Net debt $15.1B FY2026 · ≈ 28.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services.

Full company description

Albertsons Companies, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food and drug retail industry in the United States. The company's food and drug retail stores offer grocery products, general merchandise, health and beauty care products, pharmacy, vaccines, fuel, and other items and services. It also operates stores under various banners, including Albertsons, Safeway, Vons, Pavilions, Randalls, Tom Thumb, Carrs, Jewel-Osco, ACME, Shaw's, Star Market, United Supermarkets, Market Street, Haggen, Kings Food Markets, and Balducci's Food Lovers Market; and in-store pharmacies and branded coffee shops, fuel centers, distribution centers, and manufacturing facilities, as well as various digital platforms. Albertsons Companies, Inc. was founded in 1860 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Albertsons Companies reported revenue of $83.2B in FY2026 versus $71.9B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was $217M in FY2026, compounding −39.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$83.2B
Latest YoY
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−18.2% (−23.0 + 4.8)
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY22 $71.9B
FY23 $77.6B
FY24 $79.2B
FY25 $80.4B
FY26 $83.2B
Net income −39.5%/yr
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $959M
FY26 $217M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Albertsons Companies Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACI

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Grocery Stores · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +0% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 4.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 37.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 14.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.28× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE34 · sector 40
FUTURE39 · sector 17
PAST33 · sector 50
HEALTH0 · sector 92
DIVIDEND95 · sector 52

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Loblaw Companies Limited L C$60.79 C$44.44 −27%
Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD €30.57 €53.50 +75%
The Kroger Co KR $57.72 $28.19 −51%
Woolworths Group WOW A$40.32 A$8.33 −79%
George Weston Limited WN C$98.50 C$147.70 +50%
Metro Inc MRU C$88.26 C$94.01 +7%
Carrefour SA CA €15.63 €11.19 −28%
CP ALL Public Company TCPD 1.81 SGD 2.35 SGD +30%
BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS 418.25 TRY 267.12 TRY −36%
Kesko Oyj KESKOA €21.25 €11.62 −45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Albertsons Companies (ACI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.64 versus a price of $12.59, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACI?
Our model-based fair value for Albertsons Companies is $12.64 (as of Aug 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.59.
What is the quality score of ACI?
Albertsons Companies has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Albertsons Companies (ACI)?
Albertsons Companies reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $83.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACI?
The net profit margin of Albertsons Companies is about 0.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Albertsons Companies pay a dividend?
Albertsons Companies currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 17, 2026).
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