Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.2B · ISIN US00404A1097
What is Acadia Healthcare Company Inc really worth?
Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
ACHC · US
Below-average quality, trading 36% below our fair value of $44.30.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −10.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range ($26.37 to $62.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $11.68 – $89.06 · fair‑value band $26.37 – $62.22 · the $28.38 price screens below the $44.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) currently trades at $28.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.30, implying the stock looks roughly 35.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $46.29 per share, and 3 of the 8 models we run sit above the $28.38 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.20, and 5 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Acadia Healthcare Company Inc generated revenue of $3.4B at a net margin of −32.8%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −41.1%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.37 (bear case) to $62.22 (bull case); at $28.38, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 148% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −7% fair-value upside, at 56%, ACHC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($46.29) versus Dividend Discount ($2.93). Highest evidence: EPV (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company owns and operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities comprising residential recovery facilities and eating disorder facilities; comprehensive treatment centers; and residential treatment centers, as …
Full company description
Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company owns and operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities comprising residential recovery facilities and eating disorder facilities; comprehensive treatment centers; and residential treatment centers, as well as facilities providing outpatient behavioral healthcare services for the behavioral healthcare and recovery needs of communities. Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Franklin, Tennessee.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Acadia Healthcare Company Inc reported revenue of $3.3B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.1B in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- U.S. Mental Health Treatment Market Report 2026–2030: Evaluating $159 Billion Forecast, Digital App Adoption, and Strategies of Acadia Healt
- Should You Continue to Hold ACHC Stock at an 18.17X P/E Valuation?
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 256 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $417.82 | $547.67 | +31% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €45.25 | €32.15 | −29% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 241.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | −53% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | −46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.80 | $330.25 | +24% |
| DaVita Inc DVA | $180.68 | $186.49 | +3% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,818 | ₹2,955 | −66% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FME | €39.92 | €71.28 | +79% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.25 | ¥7.67 | −7% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,005 | ₹284.87 | −72% |
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