Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.1B · ISIN US00258Y1047
What is Abacus Global Management, Inc. really worth?
Abacus Global Management, Inc.
ABX · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 258% above our fair value of $2.72.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −10.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.50 – $12.10 · fair‑value band $2.04 – $3.40 · the $9.75 price screens above the $2.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Abacus Global Management, Inc. (ABX) currently trades at $9.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.72, implying the stock looks roughly 258.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $4.95 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $9.75 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.64, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Abacus Global Management, Inc. generated revenue of $250M at a net margin of 15.6%. Revenue grew 34.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $373M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.04 (bear case) to $3.40 (bull case); at $9.75, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −72%, ABX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.1223 per share, which is 4.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($4.95) versus Dividend Discount ($2.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Abacus Global Management, Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager and market maker in the United States, Luxembourg, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Asset Management, Life Solutions, and Technology Services segments.
Full company description
Abacus Global Management, Inc. operates as an alternative asset manager and market maker in the United States, Luxembourg, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Asset Management, Life Solutions, and Technology Services segments. The Asset Management segment provides asset management services to investors investing in alternative investment and exchange-traded funds. The Life Solutions segment originates life insurance policy settlements between investors or buyers, and the sellers, who are often the original policy owners. The Technology Services segment provides real-time mortality verification, missing participant verification, and other services specific to the life insurance market services to customers on a contract basis. It sells its products through financial advisors or agents, direct-to-consumer, and traditional life settlements intermediaries. The company was formerly known as Abacus Life, Inc. and changed its name to Abacus Global Management, Inc. in February 2025. Abacus Global Management, Inc. was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Abacus Global Management, Inc. reported revenue of $235M in FY2025 versus $22.6M in FY2021, a compound +79.6%/yr. Reported net income was $36.5M in FY2025, compounding +146.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
ABX screens 258% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX) Creates New Rest Of World CEO Role
- Abacus Global Authorized To Repurchase $100 Mln Of Shares
- Abacus (ABX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- What Is Barrick Mining (TSX:ABX) Unlocking With Its Nevada Gold Mines Deal?
Peer Group
Insurance - Life · 96 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Life Insurance Company 601628 | ¥37.03 | ¥49.98 | +35% |
| Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 | ¥55.82 | ¥84.72 | +52% |
| AIA Group 1299 | HK$73.00 | HK$33.57 | −54% |
| Manulife Financial Corporation MFC | C$59.80 | C$38.80 | −35% |
| Aflac Incorporated AFL | $116.52 | $74.34 | −36% |
| Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO | C$90.25 | C$39.53 | −56% |
| MetLife, Inc MET | $96.51 | $68.27 | −29% |
| Life Insurance Corporation LICI | ₹412.15 | ₹392.93 | −5% |
| China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 | ¥30.20 | ¥57.51 | +90% |
| Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 | 301,000 KRW | 191,293 KRW | −36% |
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