Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co Ltd (605296) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 15.6B CNY (≈ $2.3B) · ISIN CNE1000051P1
What is Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 176% above our fair value of ¥12.93.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +19.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.44 – ¥46.78 · fair‑value band ¥9.93 – ¥15.94 · the ¥35.67 price screens above the ¥12.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co Ltd (605296) currently trades at ¥35.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.93, implying the stock looks roughly 175.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥17.24 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥35.67 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.25, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of −10.3%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 480M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.93 (bear case) to ¥15.94 (bull case); at ¥35.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −64%, 605296 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥17.24) versus Asset-Based (¥6.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co.,LTD. engages in the feed production, pig breeding, and slaughter and processing businesses in China. Its activities include feed processing, pig breeding, pig slaughtering, and fresh pork food sales. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was 339M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.6 % · buybacks/dilution −14.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
605296 screens 176% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | −50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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