Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group (605296) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 15.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥15.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.44 – ¥46.78 · fair‑value band ¥9.93 – ¥15.94 · the ¥31.38 price screens above the ¥12.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group (605296) currently trades at ¥31.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.93, implying the stock looks roughly 58.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group generated revenue of 5.2B CNY at a net margin of -10.3%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -11.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 480M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.93 (bear case) to ¥15.94 (bull case); at ¥31.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at -59%, 605296 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥17.24) versus Asset-Based (¥6.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co.,LTD. engages in the feed production, pig breeding, and slaughter and processing businesses in China. Its activities include feed processing, pig breeding, pig slaughtering, and fresh pork food sales. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Kunming, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group reported revenue of ¥5.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +17.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥339M in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −17.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
605296 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 299 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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