Bunge Global SA (BG) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $23.1B · ISIN CH1300646267
What is Bunge Global SA really worth?
Bunge Global SA
BG · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 152% above our fair value of $47.76.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +12.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($61.02). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $64.32 – $131.41 · fair‑value band $45.75 – $61.02 · the $120.12 price screens above the $47.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Bunge Global SA (BG) currently trades at $120.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $47.76, implying the stock looks roughly 151.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $72.78 per share, and 0 of the 15 models we run sit above the $120.12 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $18.07, and 15 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Bunge Global SA generated revenue of $80.5B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 87.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at $14.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $45.75 (bear case) to $61.02 (bull case); at $120.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 18% fair-value upside, at −60%, BG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6659 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($72.78) versus Economic Profit ($4.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling.
Full company description
Bunge Global SA operates as an agribusiness and food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Soybean Processing and Refining, Softseed Processing and Refining, Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining, and Grain Merchandising and Milling. The Soybean Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of soybeans and soybean related products, as well as biodiesel and fertilizer production and distribution for the food, animal feed and biofuel industries. The Softseed Processing and Refining segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of softseeds and softseed related products, as well as biodiesel production and distribution. The Other Oilseeds Processing and Refining Segment is involved in products of a specialty nature, including the purchase, storage, transportation, processing, distribution, refining, marketing, and sale of these related products. The Grain Merchandising and Milling segment is involved in the purchase, storage, transportation, distribution, and marketing of commodities primarily consisting of corn, wheat, barley, cotton, pulses, and sugar; milling of wheat and sugar; and related services including ocean freight and financial services. Bunge Global SA was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in Chesterfield, Missouri.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Bunge Global SA reported revenue of $70.3B in FY2025 versus $59.2B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was $819M in FY2025, compounding −20.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BG screens 152% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Why Bunge Global (BG) Stock Is Up Today
- Bunge Announces the Sale of its Two Sugarcane Mills in Brazil
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Bunge Global and GrowGeneration
- Is BUNGE GLOBAL SA (BG) Stock Outpacing Its Basic Materials Peers This Year?
Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| L.D.C. S.A LOUP | €112.20 | €184.99 | +65% |
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