Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 237B CNY (≈ $35.4B) · ISIN CNE100001RQ3
What is Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥47.42.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥48.19 to ¥47.42 (−1.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +15.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥35.57 to ¥93.58). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥29.68 – ¥73.95 · fair‑value band ¥35.57 – ¥93.58 · the ¥43.97 price screens below the ¥47.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd (002714) currently trades at ¥43.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥47.42, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥129.79 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥43.97 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.53, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd generated revenue of 138B CNY at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at 62.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥35.57 (bear case) to ¥93.58 (bull case); at ¥43.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 8%, 002714 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2984 per share, which is 0.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥129.79) versus Asset-Based (¥9.53). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others.
Full company description
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others. The company engages in breeding and sales of piglets, finished hogs, breeding hogs, meat products and by-products, hog carcasses, pork cuts, and raw material for feed, pig manure, and feed products, as well as slaughtering and meat production, and fresh and frozen meat products. Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nanyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Muyuan Foodstuff Co Ltd reported revenue of 144B CNY in FY2025 versus 78.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.3%/yr. Reported net income was 15.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +22.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | −50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
| L.D.C. S.A LOUP | €112.20 | €184.99 | +65% |
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