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New China Life Insurance Co Ltd (601336) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 196B CNY (≈ $29.2B) · ISIN CNE1000019Y0

What is New China Life Insurance Co Ltd really worth?

NC New China Life Insurance Co Ltd 601336 · SHG
Price¥62.25
Fair Value¥99.92
Upside+60.5%
Quality66/100

A solid business, trading 38% below our fair value of ¥99.92.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 49.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Wide moat 78/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.2 %/yr)
!Weak on future: 16 out of 100

For context

·4.39% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥74.94 – ¥124.90

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price −1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥74.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥85.01 ¥22.81 Fair Value ¥99.92 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥22.81 – ¥85.01 · fair‑value band ¥74.94 – ¥124.90 · the ¥62.25 price screens below the ¥99.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

New China Life Insurance Co Ltd (601336) currently trades at ¥62.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥99.92, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥111.55 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥62.25 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥23.95, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, New China Life Insurance Co Ltd generated revenue of 75.1B CNY at a net margin of 49.1%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 36.3%. Net debt stands at 138B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥74.94 (bear case) to ¥124.90 (bull case); at ¥62.25, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 61%, 601336 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥6.15 per share, which is 6.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
DDM Multi-Stage ¥35.34 ¥54.39 ¥74.84 62
Gordon GGM ¥35.34 ¥71.29 ¥116.56 61
P/E Multiple ¥113.39 ¥151.18 ¥188.98 61
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥35.34 ¥71.29 ¥116.56 61
DDM Multi-Stage ¥35.34 ¥54.39 ¥74.84 62
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥113.39 ¥151.18 ¥188.98 61
P/B Multiple ¥37.54 ¥50.05 ¥62.56 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥17.88 ¥23.95 ¥35.75 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥80.13 ¥111.55 ¥852.80 60

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥111.55) versus Asset-Based (¥23.95). Highest evidence: DDM Multi-Stage (62).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.3 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 1.44 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥11.82 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.3
Dividend yield 4.4% payout 23.1%
Net margin 27.0% FY2025
Return on equity 36.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 50.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 75.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.2% 3y avg +7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +10.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 109B CNY FY2025
Net debt 138B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides life insurance products and services to individuals and institutions in China. The company operates through three segments: Traditional insurance, Participating insurance, and Other Business. It provides life insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance products and services.

Full company description

New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. provides life insurance products and services to individuals and institutions in China. The company operates through three segments: Traditional insurance, Participating insurance, and Other Business. It provides life insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance products and services. The company also offers asset management, investment management, training, electronic commerce, and medical services; elderly care services and enterprise management service; property management; and invests in, develops, leases, and manages real estate properties. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

New China Life Insurance Co Ltd reported revenue of 134B CNY in FY2025 versus 222B CNY in FY2021, a compound −11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 36.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +24.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
134B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+24.4% (20.0 + 4.4)
Revenue −11.8%/yr
FY21 222B CNY
FY22 107B CNY
FY23 70.1B CNY
FY24 129B CNY
FY25 134B CNY
Net income +24.8%/yr
FY21 14.9B CNY
FY22 21.5B CNY
FY23 8.7B CNY
FY24 26.2B CNY
FY25 36.3B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +15.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −3.2 %

of which total revenue −3.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +16.0 %
Tax rate +2.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "New China Life Insurance Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601336

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +61% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.61× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.56× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 18
FUTURE16 · sector 43
PAST100 · sector 43
HEALTH91 · sector 84
DIVIDEND88 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.03 ¥49.98 +35%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥55.82 ¥84.72 +52%
AIA Group 1299 HK$73.00 HK$33.57 −54%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$59.80 C$38.80 −35%
Aflac Incorporated AFL $116.52 $74.34 −36%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$90.25 C$39.53 −56%
MetLife, Inc MET $96.51 $68.27 −29%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 −5%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.20 ¥57.51 +90%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 301,000 KRW 191,293 KRW −36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is New China Life Insurance Co Ltd (601336) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥99.92 versus a price of ¥62.25, about +61% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 601336?
Our model-based fair value for New China Life Insurance Co Ltd is ¥99.92 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥62.25.
What is the quality score of 601336?
New China Life Insurance Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of New China Life Insurance Co Ltd (601336)?
New China Life Insurance Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 75.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601336?
The net profit margin of New China Life Insurance Co Ltd is about 49.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 49.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does New China Life Insurance Co Ltd pay a dividend?
New China Life Insurance Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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