Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
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A solid business, but trading 386% above our fair value of ¥3.29.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is ¥3.29 per share against a price of ¥15.99, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.4 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 199.1% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.41% dividend yield
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange ¥2.46 to ¥3.29
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −6.8% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.91 – ¥39.44 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥3.29 · the ¥15.99 price screens above the ¥3.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) currently trades at ¥15.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.29, implying the stock looks roughly 385.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of ¥4.40 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥15.99 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.61, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 83.9M CNY. Revenue declined 12.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 3.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Scenario range: ¥2.46 (bear) to ¥3.29 (bull), the price of ¥15.99 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −79%, 600783 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1079 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.1700 to ¥4.40). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence¥4.45¥4.40¥3.8476
Gordon GGM¥2.03¥2.22¥2.5169
Graham-Dodd¥1.32¥1.61¥1.8167
All 9 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd¥1.32¥1.61¥1.8167
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM¥2.03¥2.22¥2.5169
DDM Multi-Stage¥2.03¥2.54¥3.2667
Multiples
P/E Multiple¥2.47¥3.29¥4.1263
P/S Multiple¥0.1300¥0.1700¥0.220058
P/B Multiple¥2.47¥3.29¥4.1255
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)¥3.02¥4.05¥6.0454
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence¥4.45¥4.40¥3.8476
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E¥1.76¥2.51¥3.2767
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥4.40) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.61). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio72.7
EPS (TTM)¥0.2200price ÷ EPS = P/E 72.7
Dividend yield0.4%payout 29.5%
Net margin199%TTM
Return on equity3.6%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)4.2%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin−62.6%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)83.9M CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)−12.9%3y avg −9.2%
EPS growth (YoY)+39.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−58.4M CNYFY2025
Net debt3.6B CNYFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality52/100
Of which business quality 46
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Profitability31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility33
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance76
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs.
Full company description
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Luxin Investment Holdings Group Co.,Ltd. It is a private equity and venture capital firm specializes in start-ups, growth capital, emerging industries, expansion stage, mature stage and pre-IPOs. For growth capital and emerging industries, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Small and Medium Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 100 million (USD 15.72 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 10 million (USD 1.57 million). For growth capital, the firm invests in companies with a potential for Growth Enterprise board listing, with a minimum sales revenue of RMB 30 million (USD 4.71 million) for the past year, and with a minimum net profit of RMB 3 million (USD 0.47 million). The firm prefers to invest in advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, modern agriculture, marine industries, new materials, new energy, energy conservation, environmental protection and low-carbon industries, information technology and next generation information technology biotechnology, high-end equipment, telecommunications, internet, logistics, education, medicine, health care, new pharmaceutical, fitness, food, consumer products, modern services, cultural media, high technology, new economy, and new business industries. It primarily invests in industries located in Shandong province and in China. The firm engages in the manufacture and sale of non-metallic mineral products in China and internationally. The company offers abrasives and abrasive tools, including ceramic ultrafine abrasives, semi-friable alumina, white aluminum oxide granules, wear resistant aluminum oxide, mono-crystalline aluminum oxide, grinding wheels, silicon carbide rods, and abrasive cloth and paper, as well as power series and other products. It also provides zirconium, semi-brittle, chromium, and white corundum; brown and white fused alumina; ceramic microcrystalline abrasives; and laminated wood flooring liquid spray and surface w
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 86.7M CNY in FY2025 versus 135M CNY in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 144M CNY in FY2025, compounding −27.0%/yr from FY2021.
Growth Quality 25/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
86.7M CNY
Latest YoY
+3.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (32Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−15.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−15.5%
Dividend yield0.4%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −15.5% vs 10Y −7.2%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13.3% (1994) → −85.9% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop88% (2017) · in CNY
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue−10.5%/yr
FY21135M CNY
FY22116M CNY
FY2380.3M CNY
FY2484.0M CNY
FY2586.7M CNY
Net income−27.0%/yr
FY21509M CNY
FY22481M CNY
FY23254M CNY
FY24162M CNY
FY25144M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024)+0.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share−9.1 %
of which total revenue −9.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
EBIT margin+9.5 %
Tax rate+0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+0.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE0· sector 21
PAST15· sector 28
HEALTH58· sector 96
DIVIDEND8· sector 27
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.29 versus a price of ¥15.99, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600783?
Our model-based fair value for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is ¥3.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.99.
What is the quality score of 600783?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥3.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.29, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥15.99 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥3.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 83.9M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600783?
The net profit margin of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd is about 199.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 199.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd it is ¥3.29 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026), against a price of ¥15.99. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 13, 2026, 600783 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥15.99, fair value ¥3.29, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600783?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥15.99); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.29). For Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd the two are ¥12.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd at about 13.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Aug 13, 2026). Per share that is ¥15.99; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.29 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600783?
Our models span a range for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.46, base ¥3.29, optimistic ¥3.29 per share (as of Aug 13, 2026, price ¥15.99). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600783?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 72.7 (as of Aug 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.29 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (600783)?
Balance-sheet figures for Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd (as of Aug 13, 2026): return on equity 3.6%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600783 from its 52-week high?
Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd trades at ¥15.99, about 59% below its 52-week high of ¥39.44 and 38% above the low of ¥11.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.29 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 13, 2026: price ¥15.99, calculated fair value ¥3.29 (−79%), Quality Score 52/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600783 calculated?
We run Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.29, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Luxin Venture Capital Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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