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Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 59.5B CNY (≈ $8.9B) · ISIN CNE000001592

What is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd really worth?

SY Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd 600292 · SHG
Price¥12.05
Fair Value¥2.06
Upside−82.9%
Quality29/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 486% above our fair value of ¥2.06.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +27.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin
!Trails peers (2/14)
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 10 out of 100

For context

·0.51% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.50 – ¥2.08

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥18.00 ¥4.26 Fair Value ¥2.06 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.26 – ¥18.00 · fair‑value band ¥1.50 – ¥2.08 · the ¥12.05 price screens above the ¥2.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) currently trades at ¥12.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.06, implying the stock looks roughly 485.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥2.92 per share, and 0 of the 19 models we run sit above the ¥12.05 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.67, and 19 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd generated revenue of 11.6B CNY at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue declined 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at 25.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.50 (bear case) to ¥2.08 (bull case); at ¥12.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −83%, 600292 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0805 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.8600 to ¥11.33). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥2.81 77
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.59 ¥2.25 76
Growth DCF ¥2.04 75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥2.81 77
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.82 ¥5.80 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.42 ¥11.33 ¥21.89 70
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.19 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.15 ¥5.51 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.66 ¥8.33 ¥19.71 60
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.43 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.7600 ¥4.20 ¥5.82 63
Lynch FV ¥1.17 ¥1.67 ¥2.17 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.17 ¥1.67 ¥2.17 57
EPV ¥0.3800 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.67 ¥3.46 ¥5.49 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.67 ¥2.92 ¥3.63 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥1.76 ¥2.35 ¥2.93 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.42 ¥1.90 ¥2.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.42 ¥1.90 ¥2.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥0.9200 ¥2.48 ¥4.03 61
EV/EBITDA ¥6.38 ¥9.75 ¥13.12 66
EV/Revenue ¥0.8600 ¥2.24 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.79 ¥2.39 ¥3.57 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥2.04 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.68 ¥5.29 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.62 ¥2.59 ¥2.25 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.3800 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.70 ¥2.42 ¥3.15 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥2.92) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 66.9
P/S ratio 2.93 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 66.9
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 33.9%
Net margin 4.4% FY2025
Return on equity 9.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 28.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 11.6B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −18.5% 3y avg +43.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 590M CNY FY2025
Net debt 25.3B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 42.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. provides energy- saving and environmental protection services in China and internationally. It operates through Franchise; Environmental Engineering and Services; Catalysts; Sewage Treatment; and Energy Saving and Others segments.

Full company description

SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. provides energy- saving and environmental protection services in China and internationally. It operates through Franchise; Environmental Engineering and Services; Catalysts; Sewage Treatment; and Energy Saving and Others segments. The company is involved in the desulfurization, denitrification, and dust removal general contracting; desulfurization and denitrification franchise; denitrification catalytic; and in water engineering businesses. It also provides waste gas, wastewater, and solid waste treatment services; and research and development, transfer, and consulting services of energy-saving and environmental protection technologies. In addition, the company manufactures and sells energy-saving and environmental protection products, as well as invests in energy conservation and emission reduction projects. Further, it engages in air and water pollution control; solid and hazardous waste treatment and disposal; mine and soil remediation; and energy businesses, such as new energy and integrated smart energy. The company was formerly known as Spic Yuanda Environmental-Protection Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. in January 2026. SPIC Hydropower Co., Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is based in Chongqing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported revenue of 12.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.6%/yr. Reported net income was 532M CNY in FY2025, compounding +76.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+157.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+43.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.5% (11.0 + 0.5)
Revenue +28.6%/yr
FY21 4.4B CNY
FY22 4.1B CNY
FY23 4.3B CNY
FY24 4.7B CNY
FY25 12.2B CNY
Net income +76.0%/yr
FY21 55.5M CNY
FY22 −28.1M CNY
FY23 54.0M CNY
FY24 36.0M CNY
FY25 532M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) −16.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 %

of which total revenue +2.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %

EBIT margin −14.7 %
Tax rate −5.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

600292 screens 486% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600292

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 66.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.50× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 32
PAST36 · sector 39
HEALTH45 · sector 52
DIVIDEND10 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $83.47 $32.94 −61%
The Southern Company SO $88.25 $58.81 −33%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $120.25 $74.89 −38%
National Grid plc NGG $80.68 $63.94 −21%
American Electric Power Company AEP $122.96 $77.23 −37%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.01 $46.34 −30%
Entergy Corporation ETR $105.75 $52.92 −50%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $76.34 $44.61 −42%
Exelon Corporation EXC $43.96 $37.60 −14%
Endesa, S.A ELE €42.30 €25.72 −39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.06 versus a price of ¥12.05, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600292?
Our model-based fair value for Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is ¥2.06 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.05.
What is the quality score of 600292?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd (600292)?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600292?
The net profit margin of Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd is about 6.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Spic Yuanda Environmental Protection Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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