Xiamen C&D Inc (600153) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 25.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥7.07 to ¥6.84 (−3.2%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.36 to ¥9.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.22 – ¥14.58 · fair‑value band ¥4.36 – ¥9.60 · the ¥8.73 price screens above the ¥6.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Xiamen C&D Inc (600153) currently trades at ¥8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.84, implying the stock looks roughly 21.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Xiamen C&D Inc generated revenue of 668B CNY at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue declined 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.5%. Net debt stands at 50.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.36 (bear case) to ¥9.60 (bull case); at ¥8.73, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -22%, 600153 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥112.94) versus Asset-Based (¥14.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Xiamen C&D Inc. engages in the supply chain and real estate development businesses in China and internationally. It operates through Supply Chain Operation, Real Estate Business, and Home Furnishing Mall Operation segments. The company offers supply chain services, including logistics, information, finance, trading, and business services.
Full company description
Xiamen C&D Inc. engages in the supply chain and real estate development businesses in China and internationally. It operates through Supply Chain Operation, Real Estate Business, and Home Furnishing Mall Operation segments. The company offers supply chain services, including logistics, information, finance, trading, and business services. It also provides commercial real estate development, property management, project and design, commerce management, urban renewal and construction, ecosystem, property, agent construction, and industry operation services, as well as invests in related industries. In addition, the company offers management services, enterprise management and product information consulting; design planning and management services for operating home furnishing stores, wholesale of furniture, building materials, and decorative materials; related supporting services; and exhibition and display services. Further, it engages in copper smelting; new energy technology; guarantees; and financial leasing activities. Xiamen C&D Inc. was founded in 1980 and is based in Xiamen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Xiamen C&D Inc reported revenue of ¥671B in FY2025 versus ¥708B in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥10.8B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +23.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600153 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 250 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $205.28 | $95.19 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | -7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | -51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.99 | $28.59 | -1% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $88.53 | $68.98 | -22% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$120.52 | C$49.14 | -59% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.89 | A$12.28 | -38% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $76.68 | $33.62 | -56% |
| Aramark ARMK | $60.35 | $13.18 | -78% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $24.56 | $19.63 | -20% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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