Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company (4300) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · SA · Market cap 19.9B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.1% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.71 SAR – 23.60 SAR · fair‑value band 13.39 SAR – 22.31 SAR · the 18.39 SAR price screens above the 17.85 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company (4300) currently trades at 18.39 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.85 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 2.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company generated revenue of 4.1B SAR at a net margin of 28.7%. Revenue grew 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at 8.4B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 13.39 SAR (bear case) to 22.31 SAR (bull case); at 18.39 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -3%, 4300 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (17.85 SAR) versus Asset-Based (13.79 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the development, management, lease, and sale of real estate projects and associated activities in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Full company description
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the development, management, lease, and sale of real estate projects and associated activities in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It is involved in the management, operation, and maintenance of residential and commercial buildings, as well as public facilities; purchase of land and general contracting; real estate investments; and leasing and property management. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company reported revenue of 3.9B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.5B SAR in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1B SAR in FY2025, compounding +71.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 592 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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