Hangzhou Chang Chuan Technology Co Ltd (300604) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 209B CNY (≈ $31.1B) · ISIN CNE100002Q09
What is Hangzhou Chang Chuan Technology Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 449% above our fair value of ¥46.26.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +3.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥108.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥21.06 to ¥108.57). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥15.60 – ¥374.00 · fair‑value band ¥21.06 – ¥108.57 · the ¥254.23 price screens above the ¥46.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Chang Chuan Technology Co Ltd (300604) currently trades at ¥254.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥46.26, implying the stock looks roughly 449.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥106.06 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥254.23 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.00, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Chang Chuan Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 5.9B CNY at a net margin of 26.9%. Revenue grew 69.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 33.4%. Net debt stands at 174M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥21.06 (bear case) to ¥108.57 (bull case); at ¥254.23, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −70% fair-value upside, at −82%, 300604 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.60 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥106.06) versus Growth DCF (¥1.91). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, produces, and sells integrated circuit equipment in China and internationally. It offers testing equipment for integrated circuit packaging and testing companies, wafer manufacturing companies, and chip design companies.
Full company description
Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, researches and develops, produces, and sells integrated circuit equipment in China and internationally. It offers testing equipment for integrated circuit packaging and testing companies, wafer manufacturing companies, and chip design companies. The company also provides handlers comprising tri-temp pick and place, ambient/high-temp pick and place, SLT tri-temp pick and place, SLT ambient/high-temp pick and place, gravity, and turret handlers; testers consisting of mixed signal, power, digital, and burn-in testers; probers, including ambient/high-temp and tri-temp probers; and AOI equipment, such as defect inspection and metrology equipment, and bare die test handlers. In addition, it offers solution consultation; after-sale services and support, including spare parts services, technical support, and software/hardware upgrades; application engineering development services, such as engineering and test interface hardware development; training; and online report services for maintenance. Further, the company engages in trading; research and development; and investment management activities. Its products are used in automotive electronics, mobile and consumer, server and fixed-line communication, medical care, cloud computing, and other industry applications. Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Chang Chuan Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 5.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +36.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +57.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +51.4 % · buybacks/dilution −7.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
300604 screens 449% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 213 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | €1,494 | €604.27 | −60% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $482.36 | $183.10 | −62% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $301.90 | $91.80 | −70% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $175.54 | $74.58 | −58% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥707.90 | ¥205.30 | −71% |
| Teradyne, Inc TER | $354.97 | $65.80 | −81% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥380.95 | ¥55.05 | −86% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥685.11 | ¥89.27 | −87% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,445 TWD | 1,804 TWD | −72% |
| Qnity Electronics, Inc Q | $142.08 | $68.69 | −52% |
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