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Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H (2727) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$52.5B (≈ $6.7B) · ISIN CNE100000437

What is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H really worth?

SE Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H 2727 · HK
PriceHK$3.05
Fair ValueHK$1.61
Upside−47.2%
Quality36/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 90% above our fair value of HK$1.61.

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Strengths

✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100

For context

·0.54% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$1.21 – HK$2.01

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −11.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$2.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$5.58 HK$1.37 Fair Value HK$1.61 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.37 – HK$5.58 · fair‑value band HK$1.21 – HK$2.01 · the HK$3.05 price screens above the HK$1.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H (2727) currently trades at HK$3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.61, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$5.48 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$3.05 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.19, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H generated revenue of HK$129B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at HK$3.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.21 (bear case) to HK$2.01 (bull case); at HK$3.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −47%, 2727 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0186 per share, which is 1.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$4.28 HK$5.90 HK$8.18 81
Growth DCF HK$4.40 HK$5.91 HK$7.96 79
Residual Income HK$2.51 HK$2.43 HK$1.97 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$4.28 HK$5.90 HK$8.18 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.84 HK$5.44 HK$7.38 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.97 HK$7.43 HK$10.17 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$2.58 HK$3.22 HK$3.82 72
10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.88 HK$5.33 HK$7.10 67
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$4.67 HK$6.68 HK$9.11 69
10Y P/E Exit HK$3.19 HK$3.84 HK$4.52 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.5300 HK$1.19 HK$1.52 65
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 57
EPV HK$2.76 HK$3.13 HK$3.45 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.8500 HK$1.39 HK$2.02 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.8500 HK$1.24 HK$1.68 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.22 HK$1.63 HK$2.03 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.9900 HK$1.32 HK$1.65 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.9900 HK$1.32 HK$1.65 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.09 HK$6.61 HK$8.13 66
EV/EBITDA HK$6.05 HK$7.89 HK$9.73 67
EV/Revenue HK$3.79 HK$5.18 HK$6.58 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.76 HK$2.35 HK$3.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$4.40 HK$5.91 HK$7.96 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.84 HK$5.48 HK$7.24 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.51 HK$2.43 HK$1.97 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.76 HK$3.13 HK$3.45 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.9100 HK$1.30 HK$1.70 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$5.48) versus Earnings-Based (HK$1.19). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 33.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.32 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0438 price ÷ EPS = P/E 33.8
Dividend yield 0.5% payout 37.4%
Net margin 1.0% FY2025
Return on equity 3.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 3.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$129B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.3% 3y avg +2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +30.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$5.5B FY2025
Net debt HK$3.4B FY2025 · ≈ 0.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial and energy equipment in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Energy Equipment Business, Industrial Equipment Business, and Integrated Service Business segments.

Full company description

Shanghai Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells industrial and energy equipment in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through Energy Equipment Business, Industrial Equipment Business, and Integrated Service Business segments. It offers designs, manufactures, and sells nuclear power, energy storage, coal-fired power generation and auxiliary, gas power generation, wind power, hydrogen, photovoltaic, and high-end chemical equipment, as well as elevators, large and medium-sized electric motors, intelligent manufacturing equipment, industrial basic parts, and construction industrialization equipment. The company also provides power grid and industrial intelligent power supply system solutions; energy, environmental protection and automation engineering and services, such as traditional and new energy, comprehensive utilization of solid waste, sewage treatment, flue gas treatment, and rail transit; industrial internet services; financial services, including financial leasing, factoring, asset management, and insurance brokerage; and park and property management services. The company was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H reported revenue of 127B CNY in FY2025 versus 131B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$127B
Latest YoY
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−26.2% (−26.7 + 0.5)
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY21 131B CNY
FY22 118B CNY
FY23 115B CNY
FY24 116B CNY
FY25 127B CNY
Net income
FY21 −10.2B CNY
FY22 −2.3B CNY
FY23 285M CNY
FY24 752M CNY
FY25 1.2B CNY

2727 screens 90% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H · Fair Value
HK$1.61 −90%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2727

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −47% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 33.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.41× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE47 · sector 21
PAST16 · sector 28
HEALTH74 · sector 96
DIVIDEND11 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc GEV $941.84 $131.95 −86%
SIE SIE €289.85 €139.77 −52%
Eaton Corporation ETN $402.78 $168.65 −58%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $995.02 $398.69 −60%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 206.60 kr 112.59 −46%
Cummins Inc CMI $564.40 $348.94 −38%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $281.67 $145.84 −48%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $155.18 $58.44 −62%
AMETEK, Inc AME $236.25 $125.80 −47%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $417.53 $125.76 −70%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H (2727) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.61 versus a price of HK$3.05, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 2727?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H is HK$1.61 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.05.
What is the quality score of 2727?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H (2727)?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$129B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2727?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H pay a dividend?
Shanghai Electric Group Co Ltd H currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.54% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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