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MUYUAN (2714) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$184B (≈ $23.5B)

What is MUYUAN really worth?

M MUYUAN 2714 · HK
PriceHK$39.12
Fair ValueHK$51.49
Upside+31.6%
Quality63/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of HK$51.49.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +4.9 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Thin margins · 7.1% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 40/100

For context

·3.47% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$36.52 – HK$71.20

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +24.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$36.52 to HK$71.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (7 months)

HK$46.81 HK$27.96 Fair Value HK$51.49 Feb 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

7‑month range HK$27.96 – HK$46.81 · fair‑value band HK$36.52 – HK$71.20 · the HK$39.12 price screens below the HK$51.49 fair value. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

MUYUAN (2714) currently trades at HK$39.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$51.49, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$63.36 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$39.12 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$9.33, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, MUYUAN generated revenue of HK$138B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at HK$46.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$36.52 (bear case) to HK$71.20 (bull case); at HK$39.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 32%, 2714 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$41.11 HK$65.21 HK$102.29 76
Growth DCF HK$41.77 HK$62.98 HK$93.56 75
EPV HK$24.95 HK$29.27 HK$33.06 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$41.11 HK$65.21 HK$102.29 76
Owner Earnings HK$42.66 HK$67.64 HK$106.08 72
5Y Revenue Exit HK$30.53 HK$47.28 HK$68.40 69
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$46.41 HK$77.18 HK$113.17 71
5Y P/E Exit HK$39.07 HK$63.36 HK$88.85 67
10Y Revenue Exit HK$33.12 HK$49.38 HK$70.86 64
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$44.10 HK$70.21 HK$105.24 65
10Y P/E Exit HK$39.41 HK$60.58 HK$86.56 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$18.87 HK$60.56 HK$80.78 62
Lynch FV HK$13.42 HK$19.17 HK$24.93 58
PEG = 1.0 HK$13.42 HK$19.17 HK$24.93 55
EPV HK$24.95 HK$29.27 HK$33.06 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$16.68 HK$34.68 HK$55.02 63
DDM Multi-Stage HK$16.68 HK$27.97 HK$36.40 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$43.70 HK$58.27 HK$72.84 63
P/S Multiple HK$30.99 HK$41.32 HK$51.65 58
P/B Multiple HK$35.38 HK$47.17 HK$58.96 55
EV/EBIT HK$37.60 HK$50.46 HK$63.33 66
EV/EBITDA HK$55.30 HK$74.07 HK$92.83 67
EV/Revenue HK$26.12 HK$37.74 HK$49.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$6.96 HK$9.33 HK$13.92 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$41.77 HK$62.98 HK$93.56 75
Rev-Margin DCF HK$30.53 HK$47.55 HK$67.38 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$17.44 HK$21.54 HK$56.93 65
ROIC Compounder HK$26.86 HK$34.50 HK$43.59 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$36.53 HK$52.18 HK$67.83 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$63.36) versus Asset-Based (HK$9.33). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.4 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 1.65 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.2483 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4
Dividend yield 3.5%
Net margin 10.7% FY2025
Return on equity 11.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7% avg 4y
Operating margin −0.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$138B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −17.1% 3y avg +4.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$20.5B FY2025
Net debt HK$46.7B FY2025 · ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others.

Full company description

Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others. The company engages in breeding and sales of piglets, finished hogs, breeding hogs, meat products and by-products, hog carcasses, pork cuts, and raw material for feed, pig manure, and feed products, as well as slaughtering and meat production, and fresh and frozen meat products. Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nanyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MUYUAN reported revenue of 144B CNY in FY2025 versus 125B CNY in FY2022, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was 15.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$144B
Latest YoY
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Value creation/yr (3Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 3 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+8.1% (4.6 + 3.5)
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY22 125B CNY
FY23 111B CNY
FY24 138B CNY
FY25 144B CNY
Net income +5.3%/yr
FY22 13.3B CNY
FY23 −4.3B CNY
FY24 17.9B CNY
FY25 15.5B CNY

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MUYUAN · Fair Value
HK$51.49 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MUYUAN Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2714

Peer Group

Farm Products · 293 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth −17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.37× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 25
FUTURE0 · sector 21
PAST47 · sector 19
HEALTH88 · sector 94
DIVIDEND69 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $81.54 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.57 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $55.40 $28.60 −48%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥13.80 ¥11.18 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 201.80 kr 256.14 +27%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥201.06 ¥143.09 −29%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.60 MYR 23.34 MYR −28%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 23.40 THB 43.24 THB +85%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 2,960 IDR 6,818 IDR +130%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MUYUAN (2714) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$51.49 versus a price of HK$39.12, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 2714?
Our model-based fair value for MUYUAN is HK$51.49 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$39.12.
What is the quality score of 2714?
MUYUAN has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MUYUAN (2714)?
MUYUAN reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$138B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 2714?
The net profit margin of MUYUAN is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MUYUAN pay a dividend?
MUYUAN currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.47% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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