Muyuan Foods Group (2714) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$184B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$54.55 to HK$51.47 (−5.6%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 51% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$36.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$36.51 to HK$71.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (6 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
6‑month range HK$27.96 – HK$46.81 · fair‑value band HK$36.51 – HK$71.18 · the HK$34.00 price screens below the HK$51.47 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Muyuan Foods Group (2714) currently trades at HK$34.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$51.47, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Muyuan Foods Group generated revenue of HK$138B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 17.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at HK$46.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$36.51 (bear case) to HK$71.18 (bull case); at HK$34.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 104% fair-value upside, at 51%, 2714 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$63.36) versus Asset-Based (HK$9.33). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others.
Full company description
Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pork company in the hog farming industry in China. It operates through four segments: hog business, slaughtering and meat product business, feed ingredients trading, and others. The company engages in breeding and sales of piglets, finished hogs, breeding hogs, meat products and by-products, hog carcasses, pork cuts, and raw material for feed, pig manure, and feed products, as well as slaughtering and meat production, and fresh and frozen meat products. Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Muyuan Foods Group Co., Ltd. in May 2026. Muyuan Foods Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Nanyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Muyuan Foods Group reported revenue of HK$144B in FY2025 versus HK$125B in FY2022, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.5B in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 300 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
| PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk AALI | 7,175 IDR | 16,058 IDR | +124% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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