Dekon Food & Agriculture Group (2419) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$18.0B (≈ $2.3B) · ISIN CNE1000068G4
What is Dekon Food & Agriculture Group really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value of HK$99.24.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price +18.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$67.16). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$67.16 to HK$124.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range HK$26.28 – HK$104.80 · fair‑value band HK$67.16 – HK$124.86 · the HK$62.00 price screens below the HK$99.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Dekon Food & Agriculture Group (2419) currently trades at HK$62.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$99.24, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$314.21 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$62.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$35.62, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dekon Food & Agriculture Group generated revenue of HK$23.2B at a net margin of 6.2%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at HK$1.2B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$67.16 (bear case) to HK$124.86 (bull case); at HK$62.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 60%, 2419 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$314.21) versus Dividend Discount (HK$35.62). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group engages in the livestock and poultry breeding and farming businesses. The company operates through three segments: Pig, Poultry, and Ancillary Products. It provides market hogs, breeding pigs, market piglets, and boar semen; yellow-feathered broilers and chicks; and feed ingredients, fresh meat, and other ancillary products.
Full company description
Dekon Food and Agriculture Group engages in the livestock and poultry breeding and farming businesses. The company operates through three segments: Pig, Poultry, and Ancillary Products. It provides market hogs, breeding pigs, market piglets, and boar semen; yellow-feathered broilers and chicks; and feed ingredients, fresh meat, and other ancillary products. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dekon Food & Agriculture Group reported revenue of 22.6B CNY in FY2026 versus 9.9B CNY in FY2022, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | −50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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