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Haitian International Holdings Ltd (1882) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$29.8B (≈ $3.8B) · ISIN KYG4232C1087

What is Haitian International Holdings Ltd really worth?

HI Haitian International Holdings Ltd 1882 · HK
PriceHK$18.00
Fair ValueHK$39.79
Upside+121.1%
Quality64/100

A solid business, trading 55% below our fair value of HK$39.79.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.6% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (14/15)
✓Wide moat 65/100

For context

·4.44% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range HK$24.42 – HK$52.09

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 22, 2026, revised from HK$39.72 to HK$39.79 (+0.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$24.42). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$24.42 to HK$52.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$26.73 HK$12.29 Fair Value HK$39.79 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$12.29 – HK$26.73 · fair‑value band HK$24.42 – HK$52.09 · the HK$18.00 price screens below the HK$39.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Haitian International Holdings Ltd (1882) currently trades at HK$18.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$39.79, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$35.87 per share, and 23 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$18.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$9.68, and 3 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Haitian International Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$17.7B at a net margin of 18.6%. Revenue grew 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$529M. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$24.42 (bear case) to HK$52.09 (bull case); at HK$18.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at 121%, 1882 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.1827 per share, which is 0.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$19.47 HK$31.61 HK$51.68 79
Growth DCF HK$19.52 HK$31.09 HK$49.97 77
Owner Earnings HK$21.97 HK$35.87 HK$58.85 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$19.47 HK$31.61 HK$51.68 79
Owner Earnings HK$21.97 HK$35.87 HK$58.85 75
5Y Revenue Exit HK$17.09 HK$26.98 HK$40.02 72
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$24.17 HK$41.05 HK$61.71 74
5Y P/E Exit HK$27.77 HK$48.19 HK$70.92 70
10Y Revenue Exit HK$17.30 HK$26.81 HK$40.55 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$22.39 HK$36.90 HK$58.06 67
10Y P/E Exit HK$24.74 HK$42.03 HK$65.49 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$14.06 HK$56.75 HK$77.19 64
Lynch FV HK$14.16 HK$20.23 HK$26.30 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$14.16 HK$20.23 HK$26.30 57
EPV HK$21.17 HK$24.32 HK$27.07 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$6.02 HK$12.52 HK$19.87 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$6.02 HK$10.56 HK$13.14 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$32.58 HK$43.44 HK$54.30 63
P/S Multiple HK$16.67 HK$22.22 HK$27.78 58
P/B Multiple HK$26.37 HK$35.16 HK$43.95 55
EV/EBIT HK$33.02 HK$43.27 HK$53.51 66
EV/EBITDA HK$28.92 HK$37.81 HK$46.70 67
EV/Revenue HK$16.27 HK$22.27 HK$28.27 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$7.22 HK$9.68 HK$14.45 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$19.52 HK$31.09 HK$49.97 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.09 HK$26.87 HK$38.97 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$14.20 HK$18.23 HK$46.45 68
ROIC Compounder HK$23.14 HK$30.09 HK$39.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$24.74 HK$35.34 HK$45.94 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$35.87) versus Asset-Based (HK$9.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 7.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 1.46 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$1.07 price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8
Dividend yield 4.4% payout 74.8%
Net margin 18.6% FY2025
Return on equity 15.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 18.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$17.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.5% 3y avg +12.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$2.2B FY2025
Net cash HK$529M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 54
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Haitian International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers plastic machinery under the Haitian and Zhafir names.

Full company description

Haitian International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of plastic injection molding machines and related products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and internationally. It offers plastic machinery under the Haitian and Zhafir names. The company is also involved in the trading of plastic machinery and related accessories; and sale of software for plastic injection molding machines. It serves automotive, packaging, medical, 3C electronics, logistics, consumer goods, and home appliance industries. The company was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Kwai Fong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Haitian International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 17.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 16.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 3.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$17.7B
Latest YoY
+10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.1% (6.7 + 4.4)
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 16.0B CNY
FY22 12.3B CNY
FY23 13.1B CNY
FY24 16.1B CNY
FY25 17.7B CNY
Net income +2.0%/yr
FY21 3.1B CNY
FY22 2.3B CNY
FY23 2.5B CNY
FY24 3.1B CNY
FY25 3.3B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +8.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.4 %

of which total revenue +8.2 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin +0.4 %
Tax rate +0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Haitian International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1882

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 792 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +121% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.29× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.15× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE38 · sector 21
PAST60 · sector 28
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND89 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is Haitian International Holdings Ltd (1882) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$39.79 versus a price of HK$18.00, about +121% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1882?
Our model-based fair value for Haitian International Holdings Ltd is HK$39.79 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$18.00.
What is the quality score of 1882?
Haitian International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Haitian International Holdings Ltd (1882)?
Haitian International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$17.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1882?
The net profit margin of Haitian International Holdings Ltd is about 18.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Haitian International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Haitian International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.44% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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