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China Taiping Insurance Holdings (0966) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$64.8B

CT China Taiping Insurance Holdings 0966 · HK
PriceHK$20.36
Fair ValueHK$41.04
Upside+101.6%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 20.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.64% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (13/15)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range HK$30.78 – HK$51.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$44.04 to HK$41.04 (−6.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +5.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 102% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$30.78). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$25.66 HK$4.96 Fair Value HK$41.04 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$4.96 – HK$25.66 · fair‑value band HK$30.78 – HK$51.30 · the HK$20.36 price screens below the HK$41.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Taiping Insurance Holdings (0966) currently trades at HK$20.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$41.04, implying the stock looks roughly 101.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Taiping Insurance Holdings generated revenue of HK$133B at a net margin of 20.4%. Revenue grew 36.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.5%. Net debt stands at HK$140B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$30.78 (bear case) to HK$51.30 (bull case); at HK$20.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at 102%, 0966 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$52.54 HK$72.22 HK$510.30 76
P/E Multiple HK$73.41 HK$97.88 HK$122.35 63
P/B Multiple HK$27.80 HK$37.07 HK$46.33 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$73.41 HK$97.88 HK$122.35 63
P/B Multiple HK$27.80 HK$37.07 HK$46.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$13.24 HK$17.74 HK$26.48 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$52.54 HK$72.22 HK$510.30 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (HK$72.22) versus Asset-Based (HK$17.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$133B
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.4%
Net margin 20.4%
Return on equity 25.5%
Free cash flow HK$151B FY2025
P/E ratio 2.5 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 33.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$1.74
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +939%
Net debt HK$140B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, underwrites various insurance and reinsurance products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Life Insurance Business, Property and Casualty Insurance Business, and Reinsurance Business.

Full company description

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited, an investment holding company, underwrites various insurance and reinsurance products in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Life Insurance Business, Property and Casualty Insurance Business, and Reinsurance Business. The Life Insurance Business segment provides life insurance products, such as corporate and personal retirement insurance, group life insurance, individual insurance, health insurance, and accident insurance products and annuities. Its Property and Casualty Insurance segment offers property and casualty insurance products, including compulsory motor insurance, liability insurance, credit insurance, guarantee insurance, and short-term accident and health insurance, as well as the related reinsurance products. The Reinsurance segment provides property damage, life, marine cargo and hull, and miscellaneous non-marine reinsurance products. It also engages in the asset management, insurance intermediary, financial leasing, property investment, and securities dealing and broking, as well as in elderly care investment businesses; manages investment funds; and provides back-to-back financing arrangement, as well as insurance broking and agency services. The company was formerly known as China Insurance International Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited in August 2009. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in North Point, Hong Kong. China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Limited is a subsidiary of China Taiping Insurance Group (HK) Co. Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Taiping Insurance Holdings reported revenue of HK$179B in FY2025 versus HK$319B in FY2021, a compound −13.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$27.1B in FY2025, compounding +37.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$179B
Latest YoY
+47.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.4%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.1%
Revenue −13.5%/yr
FY21 HK$319B
FY22 HK$159B
FY23 HK$106B
FY24 HK$121B
FY25 HK$179B
Net income +37.8%/yr
FY21 HK$7.5B
FY22 HK$4.3B
FY23 HK$5.4B
FY24 HK$8.4B
FY25 HK$27.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.4 pp

of which total revenue −0.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.1 pp

EBIT margin +23.9 pp
Tax rate +2.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −14.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Taiping Insurance Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0966

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +102% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.79× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 100 · sector 43
HEALTH 83 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥37.33 ¥49.98 +34%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥52.60 ¥84.72 +61%
Manulife Financial Corporation 0945 HK$343.40 HK$143.17 -58%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹412.15 ₹392.93 -5%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 302,500 KRW 191,293 KRW -37%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥30.48 ¥57.51 +89%
Prudential plc PUKN 545.00 MXN 499.36 MXN -8%
New China Life Insurance Company 601336 ¥58.83 ¥99.92 +70%
SBI Life Insurance Company SBILIFE ₹1,830 ₹293.11 -84%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882B 59.00 TWD 107.71 TWD +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Taiping Insurance Holdings (0966) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$41.04 versus a price of HK$20.36, about +102% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0966?
Our model-based fair value for China Taiping Insurance Holdings is HK$41.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$20.36.
What is the quality score of 0966?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Taiping Insurance Holdings (0966)?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$133B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0966?
The net profit margin of China Taiping Insurance Holdings is about 20.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Taiping Insurance Holdings pay a dividend?
China Taiping Insurance Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.64% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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