Beijing Venustech Inc (002439) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Beijing Venustech Inc is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
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Below-average quality, and trading another 368% above our fair value of ¥2.83.
As of Aug 19, 2026, the fair value of Beijing Venustech Inc is ¥2.83 per share against a price of ¥13.25, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -22.2% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100
Evidence: MediumRange ¥2.46 to ¥3.19
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −7.5% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.19). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.41 – ¥35.53 · fair‑value band ¥2.46 – ¥3.19 · the ¥13.25 price screens above the ¥2.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Beijing Venustech Inc (002439) currently trades at ¥13.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.83, implying the stock looks roughly 368.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥6.00 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥13.25 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥1.94, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Venustech Inc generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of −22.2%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −4.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Scenario range: ¥2.46 (bear) to ¥3.19 (bull), the price of ¥13.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −79%, 002439 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio6.70TTM
EPS (TTM)¥−0.4300
Dividend yield2.1%
Net margin−24.5%FY2025
Return on equity−4.7%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)3.3%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin9.0%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)2.4B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+4.1%3y avg −19.2%
EPS growth (YoY)+29.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow114M CNYFY2025
Net cash1.9B CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality33/100
Of which business quality 36
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Profitability5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance32
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Venustech Group Inc. provides network security products, trusted security management platforms, and specialized security services and solutions worldwide.
Full company description
Venustech Group Inc. provides network security products, trusted security management platforms, and specialized security services and solutions worldwide. It provides Venusense Traffic Anomaly Detection and Mitigation System, an anti-DDOS security defense system; NGFW; unified threat management products; web application firewall; application delivery controller products; unified security management platform; intrusion prevention system; industrial firewall; privilege access manager device; network access control products; and network traffic analysis products. The company also offers penetration test, vulnerability assessment, configuration verification services; security operation center; and threat intelligence center. It serves government, telecom carrie, financial service, industrial control, SME, rail transit, municipal utility, smart manufacturing, media, and technology industries. The company was formerly known as Beijing Venustech Inc. Venustech Group Inc. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Venustech Inc reported revenue of 2.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound −14.6%/yr. Reported net income was −572M CNY in FY2025.
Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
−29.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−19.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.7%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
24.7% (2020) → −19.0% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue−14.6%/yr
FY214.4B CNY
FY224.4B CNY
FY234.5B CNY
FY243.3B CNY
FY252.3B CNY
Net income
FY21862M CNY
FY22626M CNY
FY23741M CNY
FY24−226M CNY
FY25−572M CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024)+15.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share+14.7 %
of which total revenue +16.4 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %
EBIT margin+8.0 %
Tax rate+1.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)−8.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)−22% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.22× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.00× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF20.7× · Pricier than median
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Beijing Venustech Inc deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+30.8 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-8.5 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.3 %
FCF yield on price0.71 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.1 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 2
FUTURE21· sector 49
PAST0· sector 15
HEALTH100· sector 98
DIVIDEND42· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
Is Beijing Venustech Inc (002439) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.83 versus a price of ¥13.25, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002439?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Venustech Inc is ¥2.83 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.25.
What is the quality score of 002439?
Beijing Venustech Inc has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Venustech Inc (002439)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.83 (as of Aug 19, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥3.19. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Venustech Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.83, about −79% upside versus a price of ¥13.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.46, optimistic scenario ¥3.19. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Venustech Inc (002439)?
Beijing Venustech Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002439?
The net profit margin of Beijing Venustech Inc is about −22.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Beijing Venustech Inc pay a dividend?
Beijing Venustech Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
What growth is priced into Beijing Venustech Inc (002439)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing Venustech Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +30.8 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -8.5 % per year. As of Aug 19, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002439 use?
Our models discount Beijing Venustech Inc at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Venustech Inc (002439)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Venustech Inc it is ¥2.83 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026), against a price of ¥13.25. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Venustech Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Aug 19, 2026, 002439 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.25, fair value ¥2.83, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002439?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.83). For Beijing Venustech Inc the two are ¥10.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Venustech Inc worth?
The market values Beijing Venustech Inc at about 16.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Aug 19, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.25; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002439?
Our models span a range for Beijing Venustech Inc: cautious scenario ¥2.46, base ¥2.83, optimistic ¥3.19 per share (as of Aug 19, 2026, price ¥13.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Venustech Inc (002439)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Venustech Inc (as of Aug 19, 2026): return on equity −4.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002439 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Venustech Inc trades at ¥13.25, about 26% below its 52-week high of ¥17.79 and 7% above the low of ¥12.44 (as of Aug 19, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Venustech Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, Fortinet, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Venustech Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Aug 19, 2026: price ¥13.25, calculated fair value ¥2.83 (−79%), Quality Score 33/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002439 calculated?
We run Beijing Venustech Inc through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Venustech Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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