Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · CN · Market cap 27.2B CNY (≈ $4.1B) · ISIN CNE100000BS5
What is Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 63% below our fair value of ¥23.48.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from ¥23.83 to ¥23.48 (−1.5%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥16.99). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.58 – ¥12.55 · fair‑value band ¥16.99 – ¥29.97 · the ¥8.73 price screens below the ¥23.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd (002244) currently trades at ¥8.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.48, implying the stock looks roughly 62.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥37.20 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥8.73 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.35, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 72.9B CNY at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 44.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 9.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥16.99 (bear case) to ¥29.97 (bull case); at ¥8.73, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 169%, 002244 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3819 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥37.20) versus Asset-Based (¥6.35). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co.,Ltd engages in the real estate development and related businesses in China. It involved in the leasing of office buildings, commercial podiums, community retail spaces, and apartments. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Hangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 82.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 38.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.5%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.1 % · buybacks/dilution −1.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 567 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | −19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$47.34 | HK$68.85 | +45% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | −81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | −74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | −53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | −32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | −78% |
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