Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
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A solid business, but trading 390% above our fair value of ¥5.88.
As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd is ¥5.88 per share against a price of ¥28.80, so the fair value sits 80% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.5% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange ¥5.17 to ¥6.59
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥21.23 – ¥66.90 · fair‑value band ¥5.17 – ¥6.59 · the ¥28.80 price screens above the ¥5.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151) currently trades at ¥28.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.88, implying the stock looks roughly 389.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.69 per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥28.80 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥4.63, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of −8.5%. Revenue grew 93.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −4.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.6B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Scenario range: ¥5.17 (bear) to ¥6.59 (bull), the price of ¥28.80 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −55% fair-value upside, at −80%, 002151 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥0.0200 to ¥10.05). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio7.22TTM
EPS (TTM)¥−0.3900
Net margin−11.6%FY2025
Return on equity−4.6%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)−1.3%avg 5y
Operating margin−0.6%TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM)2.5B CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+93.3%3y avg −16.6%
EPS growth (YoY)+14.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow170M CNYFY2025
Net cash1.6B CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality58/100
Of which business quality 58
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Profitability9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth89
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance69
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides GNSS products and applications worldwide. It offers GNSS chips, including precision chips, modules, and boards; GNSS system-on-chip (SoC) chips, GNSS modules, and analog chips; and GNSS data services comprising high-precision data, A-GNSS service, and high-precision positioning engine services.
Full company description
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides GNSS products and applications worldwide. It offers GNSS chips, including precision chips, modules, and boards; GNSS system-on-chip (SoC) chips, GNSS modules, and analog chips; and GNSS data services comprising high-precision data, A-GNSS service, and high-precision positioning engine services. The company also provides GNSS antennas, such as survey GNSS, helix, choke ring, aviation, ruggedized, OEM GNSS, x-survey, and timing antennas; high-precision GNSS and intelligent connected vehicle antennas; and wireless data radios, including radio modems and UHF radios. In addition, it offers ceramic components, such as ceramic substrates, modules, and RF passive components. Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −257M CNY in FY2025.
Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+47.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.5%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.7% (2020) → −6.0% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002151
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 162 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−79% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth93% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.56× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.08× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF15.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA68.8× · Priciest 25%
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
Implied FCF growth, 10 years+25.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-9.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.3 %
FCF yield on price1.08 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.1 %
The price demands an acceleration versus past growth: a high bar the company still has to clear. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 27
PAST0· sector 24
HEALTH100· sector 98
DIVIDEND0· sector 21
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
Is Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.88 versus a price of ¥28.80, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002151?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd is ¥5.88 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.80.
What is the quality score of 002151?
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.88 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.17, optimistic scenario ¥6.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.88, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥28.80 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.17, optimistic scenario ¥6.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151)?
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002151?
The net profit margin of Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd is about −8.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What growth is priced into Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +25.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.4 % per year. As of Sep 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002151 use?
Our models discount Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd at 9.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd it is ¥5.88 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026), against a price of ¥28.80. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 5, 2026, 002151 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.80, fair value ¥5.88, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002151?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.88). For Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd the two are ¥22.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd worth?
The market values Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd at about 18.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.80; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.88 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002151?
Our models span a range for Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.17, base ¥5.88, optimistic ¥6.59 per share (as of Sep 5, 2026, price ¥28.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (002151)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd (as of Sep 5, 2026): return on equity −4.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002151 from its 52-week high?
Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd trades at ¥28.80, about 57% below its 52-week high of ¥66.90 and 9% above the low of ¥26.44 (as of Sep 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.88 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Hexagon AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 5, 2026: price ¥28.80, calculated fair value ¥5.88 (−80%), Quality Score 58/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002151 calculated?
We run Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥5.88, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing BDStar Navigation Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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