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Henan Yuneng Holdings (001896) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 20.9B CNY

HY Henan Yuneng Holdings 001896 · SHE
Price¥14.12
Fair Value¥4.35
Upside-69.2%
Quality49/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.26 – ¥5.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated today

Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 69% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥22.70 ¥3.01 Fair Value ¥4.35 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.01 – ¥22.70 · fair‑value band ¥3.26 – ¥5.44 · the ¥14.12 price screens above the ¥4.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Yuneng Holdings (001896) currently trades at ¥14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.35, implying the stock looks roughly 69.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Yuneng Holdings generated revenue of 10.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at 18.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.26 (bear case) to ¥5.44 (bull case); at ¥14.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 230% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -69%, 001896 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.12 ¥20.28 ¥48.61 80
Residual Income ¥2.08 ¥2.39 ¥4.56 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.13 ¥20.13 74
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.77 ¥17.24 ¥48.87 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.51 ¥20.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.46 ¥15.27 ¥34.77 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.37 ¥6.69 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.34 ¥10.73 ¥22.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.10 ¥17.23 ¥40.30 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.15 ¥13.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.74 ¥11.67 ¥16.35 54
Lynch FV ¥3.42 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.42 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.45 ¥4.61 ¥5.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.26 ¥4.35 ¥5.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.10 ¥4.14 ¥5.17 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.01 ¥5.02 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.88 ¥7.18 ¥11.48 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.4100 ¥3.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.15 ¥1.54 ¥2.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.12 ¥20.28 ¥48.61 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.13 ¥20.13 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.08 ¥2.39 ¥4.56 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.45 ¥6.35 ¥8.26 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.73) versus Asset-Based (¥1.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.8B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -15.0%
Net margin 3.5%
Return on equity 10.1%
Free cash flow 1.6B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 56.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.5%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500
EPS growth (YoY) -33.8%
Net debt 18.3B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, generates, and sells electricity in China. It operates through Power, Coal, and Other segments.

Full company description

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, generates, and sells electricity in China. It operates through Power, Coal, and Other segments. The company offers electricity and heat, including biomass thermal power, heating, wind power, photovoltaic power, and other power supply; and equipment maintenance, overhaul services, carbon asset trading, and other services to power generation companies, as well as sells power generation by-products. It also purchases and sells coal, selection, storage, transportation, and other services; and provides accounts receivable factoring financing services. In addition, the company is involved in provision of pumped storage, new energy, and comprehensive energy services; production and sale of power products; management of energy projects for electricity production; sale of power materials and fly ash; and power environmental protection and energy-saving technological upgrades. Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Zhengzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Yuneng Holdings reported revenue of ¥11.2B in FY2025 versus ¥11.9B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥390M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥11.9B
FY22 ¥13.1B
FY23 ¥12.0B
FY24 ¥12.2B
FY25 ¥11.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥2.0B
FY22 −¥2.1B
FY23 −¥554M
FY24 −¥121M
FY25 ¥390M

001896 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan Yuneng Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001896

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -15% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 4.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 2
FUTURE 0 · sector 32
PAST 40 · sector 39
HEALTH 0 · sector 53
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $85.78 $32.94 -62%
The Southern Company SO $92.52 $58.81 -36%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $123.19 $74.89 -39%
National Grid plc NGG 61,175 ARS 44,886 ARS -27%
NTPC Limited NTPC ₹339.45 ₹375.02 +10%
CEZ, a. s. CEZ 244.80 PLN 167.29 PLN -32%
Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID ₹269.45 ₹252.77 -6%
China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 ¥8.81 ¥6.73 -24%
CLP Holdings 0002 HK$77.90 HK$42.12 -46%
Tenaga Nasional Berhad 5347 14.58 MYR 14.72 MYR +1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henan Yuneng Holdings (001896) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.35 versus a price of ¥14.12, about −69% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001896?
Our model-based fair value for Henan Yuneng Holdings is ¥4.35 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥14.12.
What is the quality score of 001896?
Henan Yuneng Holdings has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henan Yuneng Holdings (001896)?
Henan Yuneng Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001896?
The net profit margin of Henan Yuneng Holdings is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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