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Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd (001896) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 20.9B CNY (≈ $3.1B) · ISIN CNE000000TZ3

What is Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd really worth?

HY Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd 001896 · SHE
Price¥11.54
Fair Value¥4.35
Upside−62.3%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 165% above our fair value of ¥4.35.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥3.26 – ¥5.44

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −14.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥22.70 ¥3.01 Fair Value ¥4.35 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.01 – ¥22.70 · fair‑value band ¥3.26 – ¥5.44 · the ¥11.54 price screens above the ¥4.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd (001896) currently trades at ¥11.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.35, implying the stock looks roughly 165.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.73 per share, and 5 of the 21 models we run sit above the ¥11.54 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.54, and 16 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 10.8B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.1%. Net debt stands at 18.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥3.26 (bear case) to ¥5.44 (bull case); at ¥11.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 170% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at −62%, 001896 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1692 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence ¥2.08 ¥2.39 ¥4.56 73
FCF DCF ¥5.77 ¥17.24 ¥48.87 69
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.51 ¥20.72 69
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.77 ¥17.24 ¥48.87 69
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.51 ¥20.72 69
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.46 ¥15.27 ¥34.77 67
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.37 ¥6.69 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.34 ¥10.73 ¥22.69 60
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.10 ¥17.23 ¥40.30 61
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.15 ¥13.69 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.74 ¥11.67 ¥16.35 63
Lynch FV ¥3.42 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.42 ¥4.88 ¥6.34 57
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.45 ¥4.61 ¥5.76 63
P/S Multiple ¥3.26 ¥4.35 ¥5.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥3.10 ¥4.14 ¥5.17 55
EV/EBIT ¥2.01 ¥5.02 61
EV/EBITDA ¥2.88 ¥7.18 ¥11.48 63
EV/Revenue ¥0.4100 ¥3.54 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.15 ¥1.54 ¥2.30 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.12 ¥20.28 ¥48.61 69
Rev-Margin DCF ¥8.13 ¥20.13 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence ¥2.08 ¥2.39 ¥4.56 73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.45 ¥6.35 ¥8.26 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.73) versus Asset-Based (¥1.54). Highest evidence: Residual Income (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 46.2
P/S ratio 1.60 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.2
Dividend yield 1.9% payout 88.2%
Net margin 3.5% FY2025
Return on equity 10.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) −3.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 10.8B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −15.0% 3y avg −5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −33.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.6B CNY FY2025
Net debt 18.3B CNY FY2025 · ≈ 11.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, generates, and sells electricity in China. It operates through Power, Coal, and Other segments.

Full company description

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd., through its subsidiaries, invests in, develops, generates, and sells electricity in China. It operates through Power, Coal, and Other segments. The company offers electricity and heat, including biomass thermal power, heating, wind power, photovoltaic power, and other power supply; and equipment maintenance, overhaul services, carbon asset trading, and other services to power generation companies, as well as sells power generation by-products. It also purchases and sells coal, selection, storage, transportation, and other services; and provides accounts receivable factoring financing services. In addition, the company is involved in provision of pumped storage, new energy, and comprehensive energy services; production and sale of power products; management of energy projects for electricity production; sale of power materials and fly ash; and power environmental protection and energy-saving technological upgrades. Henan Yuneng Holdings Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is based in Zhengzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 11.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was 390M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+2.0% (0.1 + 1.9)
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 11.9B CNY
FY22 13.1B CNY
FY23 12.0B CNY
FY24 12.2B CNY
FY25 11.2B CNY
Net income
FY21 −2.0B CNY
FY22 −2.1B CNY
FY23 −554M CNY
FY24 −121M CNY
FY25 390M CNY

001896 screens 165% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001896

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Electric · 153 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 4.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 32
PAST40 · sector 39
HEALTH0 · sector 52
DIVIDEND38 · sector 65

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $83.47 $32.94 −61%
The Southern Company SO $88.25 $58.81 −33%
Duke Energy Corporation DUK $120.25 $74.89 −38%
National Grid plc NGG $80.68 $63.94 −21%
American Electric Power Company AEP $122.96 $77.23 −37%
Dominion Energy, Inc D $66.01 $46.34 −30%
Entergy Corporation ETR $105.75 $52.92 −50%
Xcel Energy Inc XEL $76.34 $44.61 −42%
Exelon Corporation EXC $43.96 $37.60 −14%
Endesa, S.A ELE €42.30 €25.72 −39%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd (001896) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.35 versus a price of ¥11.54, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001896?
Our model-based fair value for Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd is ¥4.35 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥11.54.
What is the quality score of 001896?
Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd (001896)?
Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.8B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001896?
The net profit margin of Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd is about 3.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Henan Yuneng Holdings Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.91% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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