Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd (0016) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$325B (≈ $41.5B) · ISIN HK0016000132
What is Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of HK$113.09.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −1.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$60.48 – HK$146.20 · fair‑value band HK$84.82 – HK$141.36 · the HK$119.50 price screens above the HK$113.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd (0016) currently trades at HK$119.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$113.09, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$157.65 per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$119.50 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$53.90, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd generated revenue of HK$92.5B at a net margin of 23.8%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at HK$110B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$84.82 (bear case) to HK$141.36 (bull case); at HK$119.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −5%, 0016 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$4.34 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$157.65) versus Dividend Discount (HK$53.90). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites.
Full company description
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, an investment holding company, develops and invests in properties for sale and rent in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It develops, sells, and leases properties, including residential estates, offices, shopping malls, and hotels and serviced suites. The company also provides property management services; construction-related services, including landscaping, electrical and mechanical installation, production and installation of wooden doors, and construction plant and machinery leasing; and insurance products to individuals and businesses comprising householder's comprehensive, fire, employees' compensation, travel, personal accident, motor vehicles, contractors' all risks, third party liability, and property all risks. In addition, it offers public bus, car parks, toll roads, and retail department stores services; data centre, facilities management, and value-added services; general insurance; and airport freight forwarding services. Further, the company provides insurance and mortgage services; mobile telephone, data centres, and IT infrastructure services; and transport infrastructure operation and management, port, and air transport and logistic services, as well as Internet of Things (IoT) solutions. Additionally, it offers mobile telephone system operation services; asset and project management services; loan financing; fire prevention and mechanical engineering services; architectural and engineering services; property and facility management services; business aviation centre services; real estate and general agency services; and secretarial services, as well as manufactures and sells ready mixed and precast concrete. The company also engages in the hotel operation business. The company was formerly known as Sun Hung Kai (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited in March 1973. Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd reported revenue of HK$79.7B in FY2025 versus HK$85.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$19.3B in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.5 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sun Hung Kai & Co Ltd (HKSE:00086) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Pivot to ...
- Is It Too Late To Consider Sun Hung Kai Properties (SEHK:16) After 110% One Year Gain?
- Sun Hung Kai Secures HK$20B Loan as Bank Demand Hits HK$26B
Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 567 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$47.34 | HK$68.85 | +45% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | −81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | −74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | −53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | −32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | −78% |
| CTP N.V CTPNV | €14.36 | €13.00 | −9% |
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