Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 12.0B CNY (≈ $1.8B) · ISIN CNE000001360
What is Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 251% above our fair value of ¥2.68.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +13.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.42 – ¥26.39 · fair‑value band ¥1.51 – ¥2.68 · the ¥9.39 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co (000998) currently trades at ¥9.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, implying the stock looks roughly 250.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥5.37 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥9.39 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.64, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co generated revenue of 8.0B CNY at a net margin of 0.5%. Revenue declined 35.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −1.2%. Net debt stands at 4.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.51 (bear case) to ¥2.68 (bull case); at ¥9.39, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −71%, 000998 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.37) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.64). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. engages in cultivating, promoting, and selling of crop seeds and seedlings in China.
Full company description
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. engages in cultivating, promoting, and selling of crop seeds and seedlings in China. It primarily offers rice, corn, vegetables and fruit, wheat, cotton seeds, peppers, cucumbers, millet, sunflowers, melons, soybeans, rapeseed, and other specialized and oil crops; researches, produces, and sells pesticides and fertilizers; processes and sells agricultural and sideline products; and provides agricultural high-tech development, agricultural technology transfer and consulting, and training services. The company is also involved in the import and export business of goods and technologies; land development investment; and other investment businesses, as well as land consolidation and restoration business. Further, it offers agricultural services, such as integrated grain planting, farmer training, and agricultural foreign aid as the supporting services. Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Changsha, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yuan Long Ping High-Tech Agriculture Co reported revenue of 8.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +24.7%/yr. Reported net income was 166M CNY in FY2025, compounding +27.7%/yr from FY2021.
000998 screens 251% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →
Peer Group
Farm Products · 293 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | −50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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