New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd (000876) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 29.6B CNY (≈ $4.4B) · ISIN CNE000000VB0
What is New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 38% below our fair value of ¥12.32.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 25, 2026, revised from ¥6.33 to ¥12.32 (+94.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +11.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥5.10 to ¥19.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.96 – ¥21.36 · fair‑value band ¥5.10 – ¥19.54 · the ¥7.70 price screens below the ¥12.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd (000876) currently trades at ¥7.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.32, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥20.54 per share, and 8 of the 9 models we run sit above the ¥7.70 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.30, and 1 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd generated revenue of 110B CNY at a net margin of −2.9%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −9.0%. Net debt stands at 38.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.10 (bear case) to ¥19.54 (bull case); at ¥7.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 60%, 000876 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.54) versus Asset-Based (¥3.30). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and processes compound feed, concentrated feed, and concentrate supplements in China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Egypt, and internationally. The company offers pig, poultry, and fish feed products.
Full company description
New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and processes compound feed, concentrated feed, and concentrate supplements in China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Egypt, and internationally. The company offers pig, poultry, and fish feed products. It also engages in the breeding and slaughtering of pigs, as well as the processing of meat products. The company was formerly known as Sichuan New Hope Agribusiness Co., Ltd. New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
New Hope Liuhe Co Ltd reported revenue of 107B CNY in FY2025 versus 126B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −1.8B CNY in FY2025.
of which total revenue +6.6 % · buybacks/dilution −1.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 292 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM | $81.54 | $38.02 | −53% |
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| Bunge Global SA BG | $111.57 | $56.19 | −50% |
| Tyson Foods, Inc TSN | $55.40 | $28.60 | −48% |
| Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 | ¥13.80 | ¥11.18 | −19% |
| Mowi ASA MOWI | kr 201.80 | kr 256.14 | +27% |
| Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 | ¥201.06 | ¥143.09 | −29% |
| United Plantations Berhad 2089 | 32.60 MYR | 23.34 MYR | −28% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 23.40 THB | 43.24 THB | +85% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 2,960 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +130% |
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