New Hope Liuhe Co (000876) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 29.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥6.33 to ¥11.15 (+76.2%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥4.62 to ¥17.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.96 – ¥25.85 · fair‑value band ¥4.62 – ¥17.69 · the ¥6.97 price screens below the ¥11.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
New Hope Liuhe Co (000876) currently trades at ¥6.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.15, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, New Hope Liuhe Co generated revenue of 110B CNY at a net margin of -2.9%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.0%. Net debt stands at 38.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.62 (bear case) to ¥17.69 (bull case); at ¥6.97, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 97% fair-value upside, at 60%, 000876 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥20.54) versus Asset-Based (¥3.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and processes compound feed, concentrated feed, and concentrate supplements in China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Egypt, and internationally. The company offers pig, poultry, and fish feed products.
Full company description
New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, produces and processes compound feed, concentrated feed, and concentrate supplements in China, Vietnam, the Philippines, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Cambodia, Sri Lanka, Singapore, Egypt, and internationally. The company offers pig, poultry, and fish feed products. It also engages in the breeding and slaughtering of pigs, as well as the processing of meat products. The company was formerly known as Sichuan New Hope Agribusiness Co., Ltd. New Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
New Hope Liuhe Co reported revenue of ¥107B in FY2025 versus ¥126B in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −¥1.8B in FY2025.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Farm Products · 299 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muyuan Foods Group 002714 | ¥40.15 | ¥47.42 | +18% |
| PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN | 3,150 IDR | 6,818 IDR | +116% |
| Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF | 21.90 THB | 43.24 THB | +97% |
| PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG | 1,805 IDR | 3,087 IDR | +71% |
| PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA | 7,350 IDR | 6,420 IDR | -13% |
| PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA | 2,260 IDR | 6,974 IDR | +209% |
| PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR | 1,890 IDR | 610.80 IDR | -68% |
| PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS | 860.00 IDR | 402.24 IDR | -53% |
| PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR | 5,625 IDR | 16,227 IDR | +188% |
| PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG | 1,320 IDR | 2,696 IDR | +104% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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