GEPIC Energy Development Co (000791) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · CN · Market cap 30.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated today
Share price +8.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 44% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- A fairly wide model range (¥6.55 to ¥15.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥3.50 – ¥10.45 · fair‑value band ¥6.55 – ¥15.19 · the ¥7.89 price screens below the ¥11.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GEPIC Energy Development Co (000791) currently trades at ¥7.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.38, implying the stock looks roughly 44.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, GEPIC Energy Development Co generated revenue of 9.2B CNY at a net margin of 22.3%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at 12.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.55 (bear case) to ¥15.19 (bull case); at ¥7.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 44%, 000791 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥16.25) versus Asset-Based (¥3.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd. engages in thermal power, hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaic power generation business in China.
Full company description
GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd. engages in thermal power, hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaic power generation business in China. It is also involved in the construction and development of hydropower plants and wind turbines; development of energy-saving equipment and materials; technical consulting; investment, development, and production of power projects; water conservancy and power resource development; installation and maintenance services related to hydropower; training; and power station operation management services. In addition, the company sells spare parts and pumps; invests in the industrial and energy sectors; provides hydropower station automation technology consulting and technology transfer services, and electromechanical equipment; and wholesales and retails building materials and coal. Further, it engages in wind resource development; development and sale of new energy and renewable energy technologies and products; integration and operation of photovoltaic power stations; construction and operation of solar power stations; and provision of engineering consulting, engineering management services, power transmission, and technical services for solar energy utilization. The company was formerly known as Northwest Yongxin Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. and changed its name to GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd. in December 2012. GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Lanzhou, China. GEPIC Energy Development Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Gansu Electric Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GEPIC Energy Development Co reported revenue of ¥9.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.0B in FY2021, a compound +45.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.1B in FY2025, compounding +67.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +15.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −8.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥28.02 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 148.25 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.69 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.54 | -11% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €56.80 | €66.19 | +17% |
| BEP BEP | $34.23 | $70.40 | +106% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
| SDIC Power Holdings 600886 | ¥13.95 | ¥16.63 | +19% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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