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STOCK COMPARISON

Iberdrola S.A. vs Origin Energy: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Iberdrola S.A. (IBE) and Origin Energy (ORG) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Origin Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Iberdrola S.A. trades at €19.89 versus a fair value of €8.45 (-58%), while Origin Energy trades at A$11.35 versus A$7.70 (-32%).
Iberdrola S.A.
IBE.MC · EUR · Utilities
-58%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price€19.89
Fair Value€8.45
Quality44/100
Origin Energy
ORG.AU · AUD · Energy
-32%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceA$11.35
Fair ValueA$7.70
Quality52/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Iberdrola S.A.Origin Energy
Valuation
26.2×P/E (TTM)17.8×
3.68×P/S (TTM)0.79×
3.20×P/B1.32×
14.3×EV/EBITDA13.0×
3.50×PEG2.09×
−57.5%Fair value upside−32.2%
3.5%Dividend yield5.3%
€0.69Dividend per shareA$0.60
Profitability
22%Operating margin8%
1.35×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.63×
10%Return on equity10%
4%Return on assets3%
Growth
-5%Revenue growth (YoY)-9%
-5.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)6.0%
6.6%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)5.8%
+14.4%Value creation/yr+23.8%
Balance & size
2.4×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)6.2×
0.84×Debt / equity0.44×
$160BMarket cap$13B
weakGrowth qualitymixed
Valuation multiples (P/E, P/S, P/B, EV/EBITDA) are shown but not scored here: the two companies sit in different sectors, and multiples only compare fairly between similar business models. PEG stays scored, as it relates the P/E to growth.

Origin Energy leads: 3 to 9 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Iberdrola S.A.of which business quality 42 · market factors 73 Origin Energyof which business quality 49 · market factors 53
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
35
47
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
43
56
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
39
5
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
29
46
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
59
88
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
97
91
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
57
37
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
72
37
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
64
86

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyIberdrola S.A.Price €19.89Origin EnergyPrice A$11.35
DCF Models-62%below the price€7.63-76%below the priceA$2.77
Earnings-Based-57%below the price€8.64-50%below the priceA$5.72
Dividend Discount-85%below the price€3.06n/a
Multiples-16%below the price€16.73-33%below the priceA$7.65
Asset-Based-74%below the price€5.10-66%below the priceA$3.86
Growth DCF-60%below the price€7.98n/a
Economic Profit-55%below the price€8.89-53%below the priceA$5.31
Growth Earnings-27%below the price€14.45-1%close to the priceA$11.26
Minimum-85%below the price€3.06-76%below the priceA$2.77
Maximum-16%below the price€16.73-1%close to the priceA$11.26
Median-58%below the price€8.31-51%below the priceA$5.52
Geometric mean-60%below the price€8.05-51%below the priceA$5.51

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Iberdrola S.A.: 23 of 23 models see the stock below the current price.

Origin Energy: 12 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Iberdrola S.A.
Bear €7.06Fair Value €8.45Bull €17.90
€19.89 = current price (white tick)
Origin Energy
Bear A$5.78Fair Value A$7.70Bull A$9.63
A$11.35 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Iberdrola S.A. · Utilities

Quality score44 · below median
Fair value upside-58% · bottom 25%

Origin Energy · Energy

Quality score52 · above median
Fair value upside-32% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Origin Energy as the less overvalued of the two: Iberdrola S.A. trades at €19.89 versus a fair value of €8.45 (-58%), while Origin Energy trades at A$11.35 versus A$7.70 (-32%).

Origin Energy has the higher quality score (52/100).

See the full analysis →
Iberdrola S.A. · Origin Energy

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.