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STOCK COMPARISON

Gudang Garam Tbk vs Philip Morris International: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRM) and Philip Morris International (PM) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Gudang Garam Tbk as the less overvalued of the two: Gudang Garam Tbk trades at IDR 20,075 versus a fair value of IDR 16,988 (-15%), while Philip Morris International trades at $186 versus $104 (-44%).
Gudang Garam Tbk
GGRM.JK · IDR · Consumer Staples
-15%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceIDR 20,075
Fair ValueIDR 16,988
Quality64/100
Philip Morris International
PM · USD · Consumer Staples
-44%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$186
Fair Value$104
Quality78/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Gudang Garam TbkPhilip Morris International
Valuation
10.5×P/E (TTM)25.4×
0.37×P/S (TTM)7.13×
0.50×P/B—
3.7×EV/EBITDA18.1×
1.27×PEG2.52×
−15.4%Fair value upside−44.3%
3.4%Dividend yield3.1%
—Dividend per share$5.76
Profitability
10%Operating margin36%
0.36×EBIT margin trend (5Y)0.90×
5%Return on equity—
4%Return on assets15%
Growth
-13%Revenue growth (YoY)9%
-10.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)8.6%
-4.8%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)7.2%
−19.0%Value creation/yr+12.1%
Balance & size
10.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)9.4×
$3BMarket cap$296B
weakGrowth qualityhealthy

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Gudang Garam Tbkof which business quality 64 · market factors 77 Philip Morris Internationalof which business quality 74 · market factors 69
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
36
76
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
48
63
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
69
81
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
71
62
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
94
85
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
39
86
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
90
55
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
100
72
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
80

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyGudang Garam TbkPrice IDR 20,075Philip Morris InternationalPrice $186
DCF Models+143%above the priceIDR 48,780-49%below the price$95.84
Earnings-Based-55%below the priceIDR 9,005-64%below the price$66.23
Dividend Discount-54%below the priceIDR 9,232-56%below the price$82.37
Multiples-6%close to the priceIDR 18,960-38%below the price$115
Asset-Based+9%close to the priceIDR 21,787n/a
Growth DCF+219%above the priceIDR 63,960-68%below the price$59.46
Economic Profit-10%close to the priceIDR 18,067-61%below the price$71.82
Growth Earnings-26%below the priceIDR 14,842-35%below the price$122
Minimum-55%below the priceIDR 9,005-68%below the price$59.46
Maximum+219%above the priceIDR 63,960-35%below the price$122
Median-8%close to the priceIDR 18,513-56%below the price$82.37
Geometric mean+1%close to the priceIDR 20,291-54%below the price$84.72

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Gudang Garam Tbk: 11 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Philip Morris International: 22 of 22 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Gudang Garam Tbk
Bear IDR 12,741Fair Value IDR 16,988Bull IDR 21,236
IDR 20,075 = current price (white tick)
Philip Morris International
Bear $62.46Fair Value $104Bull $148
$186 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Gudang Garam Tbk · Consumer Staples

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-15% · below median

Philip Morris International · Consumer Staples

Quality score78 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-44% · bottom 25%

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Gudang Garam Tbk as the less overvalued of the two: Gudang Garam Tbk trades at IDR 20,075 versus a fair value of IDR 16,988 (-15%), while Philip Morris International trades at $186 versus $104 (-44%).

Philip Morris International has the higher quality score (78/100).

See the full analysis →
Gudang Garam Tbk · Philip Morris International

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.