Guotai Junan Securities Co vs Morgan Stanley: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Guotai Junan Securities Co (601211) and Morgan Stanley (MS) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Guotai Junan Securities Co leads: 11 to 3 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
What the models say
How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.
▲above the price, more than 15% above ●close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price ▼below the price, more than 15% below
| Model family | Guotai Junan Securities CoPrice ¥17.87 | Morgan StanleyPrice $217 |
|---|---|---|
| DCF Models | n/a | ▼-40%below the price$130 |
| Earnings-Based | n/a | ●-2%close to the price$214 |
| Dividend Discount | n/a | ▼-63%below the price$79.85 |
| Multiples | ●+8%close to the price¥19.29 | ▼-45%below the price$119 |
| Asset-Based | ●-15%close to the price¥15.20 | ▼-78%below the price$47.42 |
| Growth DCF | n/a | ▲+53%above the price$332 |
| Economic Profit | n/a | ▼-56%below the price$95.82 |
| Minimum | ●-15%close to the price¥15.20 | ▼-78%below the price$47.42 |
| Maximum | ●+8%close to the price¥19.29 | ▲+53%above the price$332 |
| Median | ●-3%close to the price¥17.25 | ▼-45%below the price$119 |
| Geometric mean | ●-4%close to the price¥17.12 | ▼-44%below the price$122 |
Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.
Guotai Junan Securities Co: 1 of 2 models see the stock below the current price.
Morgan Stanley: 11 of 13 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Compare two other stocks
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Guotai Junan Securities Co · Financials
Morgan Stanley · Financials
Bottom line
As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Guotai Junan Securities Co as the less overvalued of the two: Guotai Junan Securities Co trades at ¥17.87 versus a fair value of ¥15.83 (-11%), while Morgan Stanley trades at $217 versus $139 (-36%).
Morgan Stanley has the higher quality score (67/100).
See the full analysis →More comparisons
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.