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STOCK COMPARISON

Saudi Arabian Mining vs BHP Group: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Saudi Arabian Mining (1211) and BHP Group (BHP) compare, as of Sep 5, 2026.

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: Saudi Arabian Mining trades at SAR 66.80 versus a fair value of SAR 33.87 (-49%), while BHP Group trades at £33.45 versus £19.35 (-42%).
Saudi Arabian Mining
1211.SR · SAR · Materials
-49%
upside to fair value
overvalued
PriceSAR 66.80
Fair ValueSAR 33.87
Quality61/100
BHP Group
BHP.LSE · GBX · Materials
-42%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price£33.45
Fair Value£19.35
Quality64/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).

Saudi Arabian MiningBHP Group
Valuation
29.3×P/E (TTM)19.8×
1.54×P/S (TTM)3.86×
0.97×P/B4.51×
5.3×EV/EBITDA8.2×
−49.3%Fair value upside−42.2%
—Dividend yield4.0%
—Dividend per share£1.33
Profitability
29%Operating margin41%
6.02×EBIT margin trend (5Y)1.19×
13%Return on equity25%
5%Return on assets12%
Growth
3%Revenue growth (YoY)11%
-1.4%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)-7.7%
15.7%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)3.6%
−14.8%Value creation/yr+6.1%
Balance & size
5.1×Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)10.4×
0.48×Debt / equity0.44×
$60BMarket cap$208B
mixedGrowth qualityweak

Even match: 7 to 7 metric wins.

Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Saudi Arabian Miningof which business quality 59 · market factors 58 BHP Groupof which business quality 63 · market factors 78
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
42
58
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
83
34
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
64
75
Fin. StrengthBalance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
62
67
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
49
61
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
78
70
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
44
73
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
60
96
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
54
81

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familySaudi Arabian MiningPrice SAR 66.80BHP GroupPrice £33.45
DCF Models-30%below the priceSAR 47.03-19%below the price£27.19
Earnings-Based-36%below the priceSAR 42.74-25%below the price£25.15
Dividend Discountn/a-41%below the price£19.67
Multiples-52%below the priceSAR 32.11-14%close to the price£28.74
Asset-Based-84%below the priceSAR 10.63-82%below the price£6.10
Growth DCF-52%below the priceSAR 31.76-33%below the price£22.49
Economic Profit-64%below the priceSAR 24.21-38%below the price£20.84
Growth Earnings-22%below the priceSAR 52.02-24%below the price£25.38
Minimum-84%below the priceSAR 10.63-82%below the price£6.10
Maximum-22%below the priceSAR 52.02-14%close to the price£28.74
Median-52%below the priceSAR 32.11-29%below the price£23.82
Geometric mean-54%below the priceSAR 30.99-40%below the price£20.23

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Saudi Arabian Mining: 23 of 24 models see the stock below the current price.

BHP Group: 21 of 25 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.

Saudi Arabian Mining
Bear SAR 21.56Fair Value SAR 33.87Bull SAR 45.95
SAR 66.80 = current price (white tick)
BHP Group
Bear £12.88Fair Value £19.35Bull £27.71
£33.45 = current price (white tick)

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Saudi Arabian Mining · Materials

Quality score61 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-49% · below median

BHP Group · Materials

Quality score64 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-42% · below median

Bottom line

As of Sep 5, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees BHP Group as the less overvalued of the two: Saudi Arabian Mining trades at SAR 66.80 versus a fair value of SAR 33.87 (-49%), while BHP Group trades at £33.45 versus £19.35 (-42%).

BHP Group has the higher quality score (64/100).

See the full analysis →
Saudi Arabian Mining · BHP Group

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.