Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US93148P1021
What is Walker & Dunlop Inc really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 29% above our fair value of $32.25.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Share price −19.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($32.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($16.21 to $32.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $39.48 – $134.07 · fair‑value band $16.21 – $32.25 · the $41.70 price screens above the $32.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) currently trades at $41.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.25, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $94.85 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $41.70 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $21.53, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Walker & Dunlop Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.21 (bear case) to $32.25 (bull case); at $41.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −23%, WD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.85) versus Earnings-Based ($21.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate.
Full company description
Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate. The company offers first mortgage, second trust, supplemental, construction, mezzanine, preferred equity, and small-balance loans. It also provides finance for multifamily, manufactured housing communities, student housing, affordable housing, small balance loans, and senior housing properties under the Fannie Mae's Delegated Underwriting and Servicing program and Freddie Mac; and construction and permanent loans to developers and owners of multifamily housing, affordable housing, senior housing, and healthcare facilities. In addition, the company acts as a debt broker to work with life insurance companies, banks, and other institutional investors to find debt and/or equity solution for the borrowers' needs; and offers property sales brokerage services to owners and developers of multifamily properties, and commercial real estate and multifamily property appraisals for various investors. Further, it provides multifamily appraisal and valuation services; and real estate-related investment banking and advisory services, including housing market research. Additionally, the company offers servicing and asset-managing the portfolio of loans; originates loans through its principal lending and investing activities; and manages third-party capital invested in tax credit equity funds focused on the LIHTC sector and other commercial real estate sectors. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Walker & Dunlop Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1M in FY2025, compounding −31.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
WD screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Walker & Dunlop Arranges $390 Million Construction Financing for Park Tower in Jersey City
- Walker & Dunlop Arranges $147.5 Million Debt and Equity Capitalization for Mixed-Use Development in Port Chester
- Walker & Dunlop Investment Partners Delivers $242 Million in Multifamily Bridge Lending as Private Credit Opportunity Grows
Peer Group
Mortgage Finance · 92 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 78/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT | $15.00 | $30.00 | +100% |
| Rocket Companies, Inc RKT | $13.03 | $8.26 | −37% |
| Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS | $10.06 | $2.01 | −80% |
| Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL | ₹84.06 | ₹39.96 | −52% |
| PennyMac Financial Services, Inc PFSI | $70.78 | $125.45 | +77% |
| UWM Holdings UWMC | $1.46 | $0.1600 | −89% |
| PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING | ₹1,169 | ₹1,143 | −2% |
| LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN | ₹502.00 | ₹1,004 | +100% |
| Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC | ₹471.10 | ₹325.75 | −31% |
| Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited APTUS | ₹258.50 | ₹244.80 | −5% |
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