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Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN US93148P1021

What is Walker & Dunlop Inc really worth?

WD Walker & Dunlop Inc logo Walker & Dunlop Inc WD · US
Price$41.70
Fair Value$32.25
Upside−22.7%
Quality47/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 29% above our fair value of $32.25.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Weak on valuation: 3 out of 100
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100

For context

·6.45% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $16.21 – $32.25

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −19.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($32.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($16.21 to $32.25) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$134.07 $39.48 Fair Value $32.25 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $39.48 – $134.07 · fair‑value band $16.21 – $32.25 · the $41.70 price screens above the $32.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) currently trades at $41.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.25, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $94.85 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $41.70 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $21.53, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Walker & Dunlop Inc generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 32.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at $2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $16.21 (bear case) to $32.25 (bull case); at $41.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −23%, WD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $35.12 $34.20 $27.88 76
Owner Earnings $31.63 $94.85 $194.17 70
Gordon GGM $20.77 $37.44 $51.54 68
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $31.63 $94.85 $194.17 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.31 $55.93 $77.13 64
Lynch FV $15.07 $21.53 $27.99 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $20.77 $37.44 $51.54 68
DDM Multi-Stage $20.77 $34.20 $39.99 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $16.21 $21.62 $27.02 63
P/B Multiple $21.20 $28.27 $35.33 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.27 $33.86 $50.54 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $35.12 $34.20 $27.88 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.85) versus Earnings-Based ($21.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 20.6
P/S ratio 0.95 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.02 price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.6
Dividend yield 6.5% payout 133%
Net margin 4.6% FY2025
Return on equity 4.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.0% 3y avg −0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +471%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$680M FY2025
Net debt $2.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 87
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate.

Full company description

Walker & Dunlop, Inc., through its subsidiaries, originates, sells, and services a range of multifamily and other commercial real estate financing products and services for owners and developers of real estate in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Capital Markets, Servicing & Asset Management, and Corporate. The company offers first mortgage, second trust, supplemental, construction, mezzanine, preferred equity, and small-balance loans. It also provides finance for multifamily, manufactured housing communities, student housing, affordable housing, small balance loans, and senior housing properties under the Fannie Mae's Delegated Underwriting and Servicing program and Freddie Mac; and construction and permanent loans to developers and owners of multifamily housing, affordable housing, senior housing, and healthcare facilities. In addition, the company acts as a debt broker to work with life insurance companies, banks, and other institutional investors to find debt and/or equity solution for the borrowers' needs; and offers property sales brokerage services to owners and developers of multifamily properties, and commercial real estate and multifamily property appraisals for various investors. Further, it provides multifamily appraisal and valuation services; and real estate-related investment banking and advisory services, including housing market research. Additionally, the company offers servicing and asset-managing the portfolio of loans; originates loans through its principal lending and investing activities; and manages third-party capital invested in tax credit equity funds focused on the LIHTC sector and other commercial real estate sectors. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Walker & Dunlop Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1M in FY2025, compounding −31.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+9.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−18.7% (−25.2 + 6.5)
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income −31.9%/yr
FY21 $266M
FY22 $214M
FY23 $107M
FY24 $108M
FY25 $57.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.8 %

of which total revenue +10.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.5 %

EBIT margin −7.6 %
Tax rate +2.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

WD screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Walker & Dunlop Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WD

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Mortgage Finance · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −23% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.30× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.05× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.48× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.09× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE3 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 100
PAST17 · sector 55
HEALTH35 · sector 0
DIVIDEND100 · sector 100

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.25 versus a price of $41.70, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of WD?
Our model-based fair value for Walker & Dunlop Inc is $32.25 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $41.70.
What is the quality score of WD?
Walker & Dunlop Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Walker & Dunlop Inc (WD)?
Walker & Dunlop Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WD?
The net profit margin of Walker & Dunlop Inc is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Walker & Dunlop Inc pay a dividend?
Walker & Dunlop Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.45% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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