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LIC Housing Finance Limited (LICHSGFIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹304B (≈ $3.2B) · ISIN INE115A01026

What is LIC Housing Finance Limited really worth?

LH LIC Housing Finance Limited LICHSGFIN · NSE
Price₹562.05
Fair Value₹1,004
Upside+78.6%
Quality52/100

A solid business, trading 44% below our fair value of ₹1,004.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.9 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 65.8% net margin
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
!Weak on future: 22 out of 100

For context

·1.78% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹753.00 – ₹1,255

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹1,010 to ₹1,004 (−0.6%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +9.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹753.00). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹791.64 ₹276.16 Fair Value ₹1,004 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹276.16 – ₹791.64 · fair‑value band ₹753.00 – ₹1,255 · the ₹562.05 price screens below the ₹1,004 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

LIC Housing Finance Limited (LICHSGFIN) currently trades at ₹562.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,004, implying the stock looks roughly 44.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹1,373 per share, and 5 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹562.05 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹172.02, and 3 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Revenue grew 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at ₹2.6T. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 5.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹753.00 (bear case) to ₹1,255 (bull case); at ₹562.05, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 79%, LICHSGFIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹39.51 per share, which is 3.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence ₹717.54 73
DDM Multi-Stage ₹96.19 ₹172.02 ₹218.85 66
Gordon GGM ₹96.19 ₹210.00 ₹353.33 65
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence ₹717.54 73
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹692.74 ₹3,532 ₹4,880 64
Lynch FV ₹961.28 ₹1,373 ₹1,785 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹96.19 ₹210.00 ₹353.33 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹96.19 ₹172.02 ₹218.85 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹993.26 ₹1,324 ₹1,655 63
P/B Multiple ₹790.83 ₹1,054 ₹1,318 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹376.58 ₹504.62 ₹753.17 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹736.57 ₹967.33 ₹2,890 65

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (₹1,373) versus Dividend Discount (₹172.02). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.5
P/S ratio 1.07 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹101.85 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.5
Dividend yield 1.8% payout 9.8%
Net margin 19.4% FY2026
Return on equity 14.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 81.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.4% 3y avg +8.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +8.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹53.3B FY2026
Net debt ₹2.6T FY2026 · ≈ 49.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

LIC Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company, provides loans for the purchase, construction, repair, and renovation of houses/buildings in India.

Full company description

LIC Housing Finance Limited, a housing finance company, provides loans for the purchase, construction, repair, and renovation of houses/buildings in India. The company offers public, green, and corporate deposits; home loans to residents and non-residents Indians, as well as to pensioners; plot loans, home improvement and renovation, construction, and home extension loans; refinance; construction finance and term loans for builders and developers; and loans for staff quarters and other lines of credit for corporates. It also provides loans against properties for companies and individuals; loans against rental securitization; and loans to professionals. In addition, the company develops, establishes, and operates assisted living community centers for elderly citizens; manages, advises, and administers private equity funds, including venture capital and alternate investment funds; offers asset management and trusteeship services; and markets housing loan, life and general insurance products, mutual funds, fixed deposits, and credit cards. LIC Housing Finance Limited was incorporated in 1989 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

LIC Housing Finance Limited reported revenue of ₹288B in FY2026 versus ₹198B in FY2022, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹56.0B in FY2026, compounding +25.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹288B
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.2% (16.4 + 1.8)
Revenue +9.8%/yr
FY22 ₹198B
FY23 ₹225B
FY24 ₹271B
FY25 ₹277B
FY26 ₹288B
Net income +25.1%/yr
FY22 ₹22.9B
FY23 ₹28.9B
FY24 ₹47.6B
FY25 ₹54.4B
FY26 ₹56.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +12.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.5 %

of which total revenue +9.5 % · buybacks/dilution −1.0 %

EBIT margin +1.9 %
Tax rate +2.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "LIC Housing Finance Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LICHSGFIN

Peer Group

Mortgage Finance · 92 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +79% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 81% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 6.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Mortgage Finance median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 40.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 0
FUTURE22 · sector 100
PAST58 · sector 55
HEALTH0 · sector 0
DIVIDEND36 · sector 100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Mortgage Finance stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation FMCCT $15.00 $30.00 +100%
Rocket Companies, Inc RKT $13.03 $8.26 −37%
Federal National Mortgage Association FNMAS $10.06 $2.01 −80%
Bajaj Housing Finance Limited BAJAJHFL ₹84.06 ₹39.96 −52%
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc PFSI $70.78 $125.45 +77%
UWM Holdings UWMC $1.46 $0.1600 −89%
PNB Housing Finance Limited PNBHOUSING ₹1,169 ₹1,143 −2%
Aadhar Housing Finance Limited AADHARHFC ₹471.10 ₹325.75 −31%
Walker & Dunlop, Inc WD $39.71 $32.25 −19%
Aptus Value Housing Finance India Limited APTUS ₹258.50 ₹244.80 −5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is LIC Housing Finance Limited (LICHSGFIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,004 versus a price of ₹562.05, about +79% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LICHSGFIN?
Our model-based fair value for LIC Housing Finance Limited is ₹1,004 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹562.05.
What is the quality score of LICHSGFIN?
LIC Housing Finance Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of LICHSGFIN?
The net profit margin of LIC Housing Finance Limited is about 65.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 65.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does LIC Housing Finance Limited pay a dividend?
LIC Housing Finance Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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