Valaris Ltd (VAL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $5.4B · ISIN BMG9460G1015
What is Valaris Ltd really worth?
Valaris Ltd
VAL · US
A solid business, but trading 52% above our fair value of $58.91.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $63.09 to $58.91 (−6.6%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +14.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($73.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $24.08 – $113.42 · fair‑value band $44.18 – $73.64 · the $89.74 price screens above the $58.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Valaris Ltd (VAL) currently trades at $89.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $58.91, implying the stock looks roughly 52.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $179.13 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the $89.74 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $30.67, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Valaris Ltd generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 45.4%. Revenue declined 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.2%. Net debt stands at $590M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $44.18 (bear case) to $73.64 (bull case); at $89.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 119% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −34%, VAL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $9.58 per share, which is 16.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($179.13) versus Asset-Based ($30.67). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other.
Full company description
Valaris Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides offshore contract drilling services in Brazil, the United Kingdom, Gulf of America, Australia, Angola, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Floaters, Jackups, ARO, and Other. The company owns an offshore drilling rig fleet, which includes drillships, dynamically positioned semisubmersible rigs, a moored semisubmersible rig, and jackup rigs. It also offers management services on rigs owned by third parties. The company serves international, government-owned, and independent oil and gas companies. Valaris Limited was founded in 1975 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Valaris Ltd reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was $983M in FY2025.
VAL screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Noble Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Exelixis, Valaris, and 3 More Stocks See Action From Activist Investors
- Oilfield Services Stocks Q2 In Review: Valaris (NYSE:VAL) Vs Peers
- Valaris, Kodiak Gas Services, SM Energy, Patterson-UTI, and Solaris Energy Infrastructure Shares Are Soaring, What You Need To Know
- Valterra Platinum (JSE:VAL) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Cut As Analyst Views Split
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Corporation NE | $45.76 | $23.09 | −50% |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 | ¥2.22 | ¥0.4900 | −78% |
| Transocean Ltd RIG | $5.70 | $2.16 | −62% |
| Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN | $12.13 | $12.20 | +1% |
| Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP | $42.55 | $9.25 | −78% |
| Seadrill Limited SDRL | $46.72 | $10.17 | −78% |
| Odfjell Drilling Ltd ODL | kr 95.30 | kr 53.75 | −44% |
| Arabian Drilling Company 2381 | 88.90 SAR | 11.09 SAR | −88% |
| Borr Drilling Limited BORR | kr 41.63 | kr 26.64 | −36% |
| Nabors Industries Ltd NBR | $91.71 | $209.14 | +128% |
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