Seadrill Limited (SDRL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Seadrill Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Energy · US · Market cap $3.0B · ISIN BMG7997W1029
At a glance
SLSeadrill LimitedSDRL · US
Price$48.46
Fair Value$10.17
Upside−79.0%
Quality26/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 376% above our fair value of $10.17.
As of Sep 11, 2026, the fair value of Seadrill Limited is $10.17 per share against a price of $48.46, so the fair value sits 79% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $5.81 to $14.54
Fair value as of: Sep 11, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Share price +3.8% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
A fairly wide model range ($5.81 to $14.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range $18.74 – $55.34 · fair‑value band $5.81 – $14.54 · the $48.46 price screens above the $10.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 11, 2026.
Seadrill Limited (SDRL) currently trades at $48.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.17, implying the stock looks roughly 376.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $30.62 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the $48.46 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.03, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Seadrill Limited generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of −5.0%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.4%. Net debt stands at $274M. Fundamentals as of Sep 11, 2026
Scenario range: $5.81 (bear) to $14.54 (bull), the price of $48.46 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 100% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −44% fair-value upside, at −79%, SDRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($3.03 to $245.57). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio2.11TTM
EPS (TTM)$−1.12
Net margin−5.4%FY2025
Return on equity−2.4%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)3.6%avg 5y
Operating margin7.2%TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM)$1.4BTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+8.8%3y avg +15.4%
EPS growth (YoY)+63.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−$138MFY2025
Net debt$274MFY2025
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality26/100
Of which business quality 28
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Profitability9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance51
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments. It also offers jackup rigs, management services, and provides contracts drilling units to drill wells.
Full company description
Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments. It also offers jackup rigs, management services, and provides contracts drilling units to drill wells. It serves oil super-majors, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Seadrill 2021 Limited. Seadrill Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Seadrill Limited reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $907M in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$77.0M in FY2025.
Growth Quality 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (13Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.1%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−466.3% (2020) → 4.9% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE44· sector 0
PAST0· sector 20
HEALTH89· sector 80
DIVIDEND0· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Oil & gas
Similar stocks
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Is Seadrill Limited (SDRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.17 versus a price of $48.46, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SDRL?
Our model-based fair value for Seadrill Limited is $10.17 (as of Sep 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $48.46.
What is the quality score of SDRL?
Seadrill Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.17 (as of Sep 11, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.81, optimistic scenario $14.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seadrill Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.17, about −79% upside versus a price of $48.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.81, optimistic scenario $14.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Seadrill Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SDRL?
The net profit margin of Seadrill Limited is about −5.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
What is the intrinsic value of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seadrill Limited it is $10.17 per share (as of Sep 11, 2026), against a price of $48.46. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seadrill Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 11, 2026, SDRL trades above its calculated fair value: price $48.46, fair value $10.17, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SDRL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($48.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.17). For Seadrill Limited the two are $38.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seadrill Limited worth?
The market values Seadrill Limited at about $3.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 11, 2026). Per share that is $48.46; our models calculate a fair value of $10.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SDRL?
Our models span a range for Seadrill Limited: cautious scenario $5.81, base $10.17, optimistic $14.54 per share (as of Sep 11, 2026, price $48.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seadrill Limited (as of Sep 11, 2026): return on equity −2.4%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SDRL from its 52-week high?
Seadrill Limited trades at $48.46, about 13% below its 52-week high of $55.47 and 100% above the low of $24.28 (as of Sep 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seadrill Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seadrill Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 11, 2026: price $48.46, calculated fair value $10.17 (−79%), Quality Score 26/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SDRL calculated?
We run Seadrill Limited through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Seadrill Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Seadrill Limited
SDRL · US