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Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · SG · Market cap 10.6B SGD

SI Sembcorp Industries Ltd U96 · SG
Price5.59 SGD
Fair Value5.22 SGD
Upside-6.6%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
4.04% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 58/100
Evidence: High Range 4.89 SGD – 8.14 SGD Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 4.89 SGD (bear) to 8.14 SGD (bull), base 5.22 SGD. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

7.55 SGD 1.55 SGD Fair Value 5.22 SGD May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.55 SGD – 7.55 SGD · fair‑value band 4.89 SGD – 8.14 SGD · the 5.59 SGD price screens above the 5.22 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96) currently trades at 5.59 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.22 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sembcorp Industries Ltd generated revenue of 5.8B SGD at a net margin of 17.0%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at 7.8B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 4.89 SGD (bear case) to 8.14 SGD (bull case); at 5.59 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -7%, U96 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 3.62 SGD 4.76 SGD 15.83 SGD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6900 SGD 2.78 SGD 74
ROIC Compounder 0.0600 SGD 0.7100 SGD 1.28 SGD 72
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 1.95 SGD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.6600 SGD 3.17 SGD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.4800 SGD 3.33 SGD 7.11 SGD 41
5Y P/E Exit 1.20 SGD 4.58 SGD 8.60 SGD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7700 SGD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.07 SGD 3.08 SGD 37
10Y P/E Exit 1.84 SGD 3.96 SGD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.76 SGD 4.59 SGD 5.17 SGD 54
EPV 0.0600 SGD 0.7100 SGD 1.28 SGD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 8.71 SGD 11.61 SGD 14.51 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 4.89 SGD 6.52 SGD 8.14 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 7.05 SGD 9.40 SGD 11.75 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 2.37 SGD 4.43 SGD 6.49 SGD 53
EV/EBITDA 3.52 SGD 5.96 SGD 8.41 SGD 54
EV/Revenue 0.2900 SGD 2.05 SGD 3.81 SGD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.56 SGD 2.09 SGD 3.11 SGD 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF 0.6900 SGD 2.78 SGD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.62 SGD 4.76 SGD 15.83 SGD 76
ROIC Compounder 0.0600 SGD 0.7100 SGD 1.28 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6.15 SGD 8.78 SGD 11.42 SGD 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (8.78 SGD) versus Growth DCF (0.6900 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.8B SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.3%
Net margin 17.0%
Return on equity 17.6%
Free cash flow 208M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 10.2
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) 0.5500 SGD
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.2%
Net debt 7.8B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sembcorp Industries Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in providing industrial and urban solutions in Singapore, China, India, Vietnam, the UK, Oman, Rest of Middle East and Rest of Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Sembcorp Industries Ltd, an investment holding company, engages in providing industrial and urban solutions in Singapore, China, India, Vietnam, the UK, Oman, Rest of Middle East and Rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Gas and Related Services, Renewables, Integrated Urban Solutions, Decarbonisation Solutions, and Other Businesses and Corporate. The Gas and Related Service segment engages in the sale of energy molecules, including natural gas, steam, and electricity from various fossil fuels, such as natural gas; and water products. The Renewables segment provides electricity from solar and wind resources and energy storage solutions, as well as system services that support integration of renewables into grid. This segment also includes the development and provision of installation, operation, and maintenance of solar, wind, and energy storage assets. The Integrated Urban Solutions segment develops large-scale integrated urban and integrated townships, such as industrial parks, business, commercial and residential spaces, and production and reclamation of water and industrial wastewater treatment, as well as solid waste management and waste-to-resource solutions. The Decarbonisation Solutions segment trades in environmental attributes, green hydrogen and ammonia, and power, as well as engages in carbon capture, utilization, and storage business. The Other Businesses and Corporate segment engages in the construction and minting activities; and insurance and financial services. The company was formerly known as Minaret Limited and changed its name to Sembcorp Industries Ltd in July 1998. Sembcorp Industries Ltd was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sembcorp Industries Ltd reported revenue of 5.8B SGD in FY2025 versus 7.8B SGD in FY2021, a compound −7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 984M SGD in FY2025, compounding +37.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8B SGD
Latest YoY
−9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue −7.1%/yr
FY21 7.8B SGD
FY22 7.8B SGD
FY23 7.0B SGD
FY24 6.4B SGD
FY25 5.8B SGD
Net income +37.0%/yr
FY21 279M SGD
FY22 848M SGD
FY23 942M SGD
FY24 1.0B SGD
FY25 984M SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sembcorp Industries Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/U96

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Above median
Fair Value upside −7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.43× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.50× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 40.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.22× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 70 · sector 34
HEALTH 29 · sector 48
DIVIDEND 81 · sector 81

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.30 €8.45 -58%
Enel SpA ENEL €9.72 €4.82 -50%
Engie SA 1ENGI €25.96 €17.39 -33%
Sempra SRE $85.92 $44.47 -48%
E.ON SE EOAN €18.42 €11.71 -36%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €59.36 €29.64 -50%
ACWA Power Company 2082 184.00 SAR 24.19 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$54.99 C$34.34 -38%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €68.60 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.47 €3.81 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 5.22 SGD versus a price of 5.59 SGD, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of U96?
Our model-based fair value for Sembcorp Industries Ltd is 5.22 SGD (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.59 SGD.
What is the quality score of U96?
Sembcorp Industries Ltd has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96)?
Sembcorp Industries Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.8B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of U96?
The net profit margin of Sembcorp Industries Ltd is about 17.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sembcorp Industries Ltd pay a dividend?
Sembcorp Industries Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.04% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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