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EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (EBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · DE · Market cap €22.5B · ISIN DE0005220008

What is EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG really worth?

EE EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK · XETRA
Price€68.60
Fair Value€21.11
Upside−69.2%
Quality32/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 225% above our fair value of €21.11.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +11.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -1.9% net margin
!Trails peers (2/15)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 1 out of 100

For context

·2.48% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range €21.11 – €39.41

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +1.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€39.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (€21.11 to €39.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€92.00 €54.44 Fair Value €21.11 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €54.44 – €92.00 · fair‑value band €21.11 – €39.41 · the €68.60 price screens above the €21.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (EBK) currently trades at €68.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.11, implying the stock looks roughly 225.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €87.58 per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the €68.60 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €24.86, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG generated revenue of €34.7B at a net margin of −1.9%. Revenue declined 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.1%. Net debt stands at €16.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €21.11 (bear case) to €39.41 (bull case); at €68.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at −69%, EBK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €101.55 €171.97 €275.52 76
Growth DCF €104.96 €168.96 €258.26 75
5Y EBITDA Exit €55.02 €97.31 €144.36 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €101.55 €171.97 €275.52 76
Owner Earnings €4.25 €26.66 €59.61 66
5Y Revenue Exit €36.69 €63.95 €96.37 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €55.02 €97.31 €144.36 72
10Y Revenue Exit €58.00 €87.58 €122.93 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €70.87 €110.41 €158.63 66
Earnings-Based
EPV €4.83 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €15.98 €33.23 €52.71 64
DDM Multi-Stage €15.98 €24.86 €34.33 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT €13.73 €32.03 €50.32 62
EV/EBITDA €38.72 €65.34 €91.97 65
EV/Revenue €3.24 €22.27 €41.30 47
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €19.88 €26.64 €39.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €104.96 €168.96 €258.26 75
Rev-Margin DCF €36.69 €66.16 €99.68 69
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €4.83 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€87.58) versus Dividend Discount (€24.86). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 98.0
P/S ratio 0.65 TTM
EPS (TTM) €0.7000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 98.0
Dividend yield 2.5%
Net margin −0.6% FY2025
Return on equity 0.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €34.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −1.9% 3y avg −15.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −85.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €4.2B FY2025
Net debt €16.9B FY2025 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 14
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG operates as an integrated energy company in Germany, Rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Sustainable Generation Infrastructure, Critical Infrastructure, and Smart Infrastructure for Customers.

Full company description

EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG operates as an integrated energy company in Germany, Rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Sustainable Generation Infrastructure, Critical Infrastructure, and Smart Infrastructure for Customers. The Sustainable Generation Infrastructure segment encompasses company activities in the areas of renewable energies, conventional generation, district heating, waste management, and energy services. This segment includes the trading of electricity, gas, CO2 allowances, and fuels, as well as the storage of gas and the direct marketing of renewable energy power plants. The Critical Infrastructure segment transmits and distributes grids for electricity and gas, offers grid-related services, and supplies water. The Smart Infrastructure for Customers segment comprises the sale of electricity and gas, the expansion of fast-charging infrastructure, and digital solutions for electromobility. It also includes activities in the telecommunications sector and other household-level solutions, such as photovoltaics and home storage systems. In addition, the company generates power from wind, water, sun, biomass, and geothermal energy, operates and dismantles nuclear power plants, and engages in the project development, planning, construction, and economic operation of power plants based on renewable energies. Further, the company sells electricity and gas. The company operates under the EnBW, Yello, GVS, Erdgas Südwest, ODR, ZEAG, NaturEnergie, Pra"ská energetika, Stadtwerke Düsseldorf, VNG, and goldgas brands. It serves retail customers, small commercial businesses, the housing industry, agriculture industries, industrial customers, redistributors, municipal utilities, local authorities, and public entities. The company was incorporated in 1931 and is headquartered in Karlsruhe, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG reported revenue of €34.4B in FY2025 versus €32.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was −€207M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€34.4B
Latest YoY
−0.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +1.7%/yr
FY21 €32.1B
FY22 €56.0B
FY23 €44.4B
FY24 €34.5B
FY25 €34.4B
Net income
FY21 €363M
FY22 €1.7B
FY23 €1.5B
FY24 €1.2B
FY25 −€207M

EBK screens 225% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EBK

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 52 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.37× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 98.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 9.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 5
FUTURE0 · sector 6
PAST1 · sector 37
HEALTH31 · sector 48
DIVIDEND50 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €20.28 €8.45 −58%
Enel SpA ENEL €9.42 €4.82 −49%
Engie SA ENGI €24.50 €21.15 −14%
Sempra SRE $84.57 $44.47 −47%
E.ON SE EOAN €17.83 €11.71 −34%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE €59.10 €55.77 −6%
ACWA Power Company 2082 184.00 SAR 24.19 SAR −87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$54.99 C$34.34 −38%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.70 €3.81 −19%
Origin Energy Limited ORG A$11.89 A$7.70 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (EBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.11 versus a price of €68.60, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EBK?
Our model-based fair value for EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG is €21.11 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €68.60.
What is the quality score of EBK?
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG (EBK)?
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €34.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EBK?
The net profit margin of EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG is about −1.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG pay a dividend?
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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