EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A. (EDP) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · PT · Market cap €18.2B · ISIN PTEDP0AM0009
What is EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A. really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 22% above our fair value of €3.81.
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 9 days ago
Share price +4.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (€2.67 to €4.95) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.58 – €4.72 · fair‑value band €2.67 – €4.95 · the €4.65 price screens above the €3.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A. (EDP) currently trades at €4.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.81, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €4.73 per share, and 5 of the 12 models we run sit above the €4.65 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €1.82, and 7 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A. generated revenue of €15.6B at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. Net debt stands at €18.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.67 (bear case) to €4.95 (bull case); at €4.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −18%, EDP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.0440 per share, which is 1.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€4.73) versus Earnings-Based (€1.82). Highest evidence: Residual Income (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
EDP, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Portugal, Spain, France, Poland, Romania, Italy, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Greece, Colombia, Brazil, North America, and internationally. It operates through Renewables, Networks, and Client Solutions & Energy Management segments.
Full company description
EDP, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Portugal, Spain, France, Poland, Romania, Italy, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Greece, Colombia, Brazil, North America, and internationally. It operates through Renewables, Networks, and Client Solutions & Energy Management segments. The company generates and sells electricity through hydro, combined-cycle gas turbine, coal, wind, solar, nuclear, and cogeneration and waste sources. The company is also involved in the supply of natural gas. In addition, it offers engineering, laboratory tests, professional training, and energy services, as well as property management services. The company was formerly known as EDP - Energias de Portugal, S.A. and changed its name to EDP, S.A. in April 2024. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A. reported revenue of €15.6B in FY2025 versus €15.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1B in FY2025, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.1 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EDP screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- EDP rises after raising outlook again on networks-led earnings strength
- Is Energias de Portugal (EDPFY) Outperforming Other Utilities Stocks This Year?
- Are Utilities Stocks Lagging Energias de Portugal (EDPFY) This Year?
- Is It Too Late To Consider EDP (ENXTLS:EDP) After 33% One Year Share Price Gain?
Peer Group
Utilities - Diversified · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberdrola, S.A IBE | €20.28 | €8.45 | −58% |
| Enel SpA ENEL | €9.42 | €4.82 | −49% |
| Engie SA ENGI | €24.50 | €21.15 | −14% |
| Sempra SRE | $84.57 | $44.47 | −47% |
| E.ON SE EOAN | €17.83 | €11.71 | −34% |
| RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and RWE | €59.10 | €55.77 | −6% |
| ACWA Power Company 2082 | 184.00 SAR | 24.19 SAR | −87% |
| Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN | C$54.99 | C$34.34 | −38% |
| EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK | €68.60 | €21.11 | −69% |
| Origin Energy Limited ORG | A$11.89 | A$7.70 | −35% |
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