TUGS Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · PH · Market cap 939M PHP
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +20.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 155% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.57 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (1.57 PHP to 3.31 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4600 PHP – 1.82 PHP · fair‑value band 1.57 PHP – 3.31 PHP · the 1.04 PHP price screens below the 2.65 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
TUGS (TUGS) currently trades at 1.04 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.65 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 154.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 42.2 (as of Jul 10, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.57 PHP (bear case) to 3.31 PHP (bull case); at 1.04 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 155%, TUGS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (4.57 PHP) versus Economic Profit (1.32 PHP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
TUGS reported revenue of 3.0B PHP in FY2024 versus 1.7B PHP in FY2020, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was 113M PHP in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Industrials · 5373 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Transport Infrastructure” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Transport Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICT ICT | 985.00 PHP | 100.50 PHP | -90% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 365,500 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -45% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 357,500 KRW | 261,411 KRW | -27% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 14,900 ARS | 4,338 ARS | -71% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 496,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -45% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 1,156,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -50% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 553,000 KRW | 615,077 KRW | +11% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 782,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -53% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 208,500 KRW | 29,594 KRW | -86% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,860 IDR | 9,720 IDR | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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