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T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $25.5B

TR T. Rowe Price Group logo T. Rowe Price Group TROW · US
Price$111.30
Fair Value$126.63
Upside+13.8%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 28.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.31% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: Medium Range $94.97 – $180.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $70.96 to $126.63 (+78.5%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($94.97 to $180.71) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$179.88 $75.26 Fair Value $126.63 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $75.26 – $179.88 · fair‑value band $94.97 – $180.71 · the $111.30 price screens below the $126.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) currently trades at $111.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $126.63, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, T. Rowe Price Group generated revenue of $7.4B at a net margin of 28.3%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $94.97 (bear case) to $180.71 (bull case); at $111.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 14%, TROW screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $100.72 $157.95 $251.43 80
Residual Income $62.50 $78.72 $231.02 76
Rev-Margin DCF $74.99 $110.31 $154.24 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $154.37 $252.64 $415.39 31
5Y P/E Exit $101.62 $163.20 $231.31 38
10Y P/E Exit $100.48 $155.18 $228.47 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $66.24 $268.58 $365.48 54
Lynch FV $67.16 $95.95 $124.73 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $48.98 $101.84 $161.56 70
DDM Multi-Stage $48.98 $85.87 $106.88 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $94.97 $126.63 $158.29 63
P/B Multiple $53.22 $70.96 $88.70 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $25.34 $33.96 $50.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $100.72 $157.95 $251.43 80
Rev-Margin DCF $74.99 $110.31 $154.24 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $62.50 $78.72 $231.02 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($163.20) versus Asset-Based ($33.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net margin 28.3%
Return on equity 18.7%
Free cash flow $1.5B FY2025
P/E ratio 11.9
More key figures
Operating margin 37.2%
EPS (TTM) $9.34
Dividend yield 4.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net cash $2.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe.

Full company description

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. The firm utilizes in-house and external research to make its investments. It employs socially responsible investing with a focus on environmental, social, and governance issues. It makes investment in late-stage venture capital transactions and usually invests between $3 million and $5 million. The firm was previously known as T. Rowe Group, Inc. and T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. was founded in 1937 and is based in Baltimore, Maryland, with additional offices in North America, Europe, Asia, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

T. Rowe Price Group reported revenue of $7.3B in FY2025 versus $7.7B in FY2021, a compound −1.2%/yr. Reported net income was $2.1B in FY2025, compounding −9.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.3B
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Revenue −1.2%/yr
FY21 $7.7B
FY22 $6.5B
FY23 $6.5B
FY24 $7.1B
FY25 $7.3B
Net income −9.3%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.1B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +7.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.7 pp

of which total revenue +5.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.7 pp

EBIT margin −3.9 pp
Tax rate +2.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "T. Rowe Price Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TROW

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Asset Management · 690 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +14% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.9× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.35× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.44× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 6.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 52 · sector 36
FUTURE 27 · sector 14
PAST 75 · sector 24
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 86 · sector 68

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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ICICIAMC ICICIAMC ₹3,077 ₹1,132 -63%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹256.05 ₹171.84 -33%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 321.44 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹11,579 ₹11,257 -3%
HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC ₹2,490 ₹866.78 -65%
Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA ₹1,182 ₹311.00 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is T. Rowe Price Group (TROW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $126.63 versus a price of $111.30, about +14% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TROW?
Our model-based fair value for T. Rowe Price Group is $126.63 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $111.30.
What is the quality score of TROW?
T. Rowe Price Group has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of T. Rowe Price Group (TROW)?
T. Rowe Price Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TROW?
The net profit margin of T. Rowe Price Group is about 28.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does T. Rowe Price Group pay a dividend?
T. Rowe Price Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.91% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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