State Street Corp (STT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $50.8B · ISIN US8574771031
What is State Street Corp really worth?
A solid business, but trading 40% above our fair value of $138.33.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +4.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($172.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $52.52 – $193.94 · fair‑value band $103.75 – $172.91 · the $193.94 price screens above the $138.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
State Street Corp (STT) currently trades at $193.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $138.33, implying the stock looks roughly 40.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $586.19 per share, and 6 of the 13 models we run sit above the $193.94 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $61.18, and 7 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, State Street Corp generated revenue of $14.4B at a net margin of 21.3%. Revenue declined 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $102B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $103.75 (bear case) to $172.91 (bull case); at $193.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −29%, STT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.66 per share, which is 3.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($586.19) versus Dividend Discount ($61.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
State Street Corporation provides various financial products and services to institutional investors. It offers custody, accounting, and fund administration services for traditional and alternative assets, as well as multi-asset class investments; recordkeeping, client reporting, and investment book of record, transaction management, loans, cash, …
Full company description
State Street Corporation provides various financial products and services to institutional investors. It offers custody, accounting, and fund administration services for traditional and alternative assets, as well as multi-asset class investments; recordkeeping, client reporting, and investment book of record, transaction management, loans, cash, derivatives, and collateral services; investor services operations outsourcing; performance, risk, and compliance analytics; financial data management to support institutional investors; foreign exchange, brokerage, and other trading services; securities finance, such as prime services products; and deposit and short-term investment facilities. The company also provides the State Street Alpha platform that combines portfolio management, trading and execution, analytics and compliance tools, and advanced data aggregation and integration with other industry platforms and providers; front-office technology that automates and simplifies the institutional investment process comprising portfolio management and risk analytics, trading, and post-trade settlement with integrated compliance and managed data; investment management solutions; and portfolio management, trading compliance, and manager/sponsor communication. In addition, it offers investment management solutions, such as strategies across equity, fixed income, cash, multi-asset, and alternatives; and ETFs, custom indexed, managed funds, and mandates. The company provides its products and services to mutual funds, collective investment funds and other investment pools, corporate and public retirement plans, insurance companies, wealth managers, investment managers, foundations, and endowments. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
State Street Corp reported revenue of $22.6B in FY2025 versus $12.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was $2.9B in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +7.8 % · buybacks/dilution +3.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
STT screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- State Street Investment Management Launches UC Endowment Strategy Index ETF With U.S. ETF Record-Breaking Anchor Investment from UC Investme
- State Street to Speak at the Barclays 24th Annual Global Financial Services Conference
- Groww AMC completes investment deal with State Street
- Better International ETF: the iShares IEFA vs. State Street's SPDW
Peer Group
Asset Management · 697 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.20 | kr 824.66 | +98% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
| T. Rowe Price Group TROW | $111.24 | $126.63 | +14% |
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