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Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.0B · ISIN US9011091082

What is Tutor Perini Corporation really worth?

TP Tutor Perini Corporation logo Tutor Perini Corporation TPC · US
Price$87.32
Fair Value$32.11
Upside−63.2%
Quality68/100

A solid business, but trading 172% above our fair value of $32.11.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
!Trails peers (5/15)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Weak on dividend: 3 out of 100

For context

·0.14% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $24.08 – $40.13

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($40.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$99.11 $5.05 Fair Value $32.11 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.05 – $99.11 · fair‑value band $24.08 – $40.13 · the $87.32 price screens above the $32.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) currently trades at $87.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.11, implying the stock looks roughly 172.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $106.19 per share, and 8 of the 25 models we run sit above the $87.32 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.12, and 17 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tutor Perini Corporation generated revenue of $5.7B at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $299M. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.08 (bear case) to $40.13 (bull case); at $87.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 122% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −63%, TPC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.9000 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $120.12 $173.36 $248.80 80
Growth DCF $122.32 $170.19 $234.41 79
5Y EBITDA Exit $77.89 $106.19 $137.46 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $120.12 $173.36 $248.80 80
5Y Revenue Exit $72.75 $96.81 $125.62 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $77.89 $106.19 $137.46 76
5Y P/E Exit $62.23 $77.59 $92.46 72
10Y Revenue Exit $88.63 $113.88 $144.39 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $92.93 $120.17 $153.03 70
10Y P/E Exit $83.26 $101.01 $120.19 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.40 $28.58 $37.51 65
Lynch FV $5.68 $8.12 $10.55 61
PEG = 1.0 $5.68 $8.12 $10.55 57
EPV $36.64 $41.29 $45.30 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.5300 $1.05 $1.60 66
DDM Multi-Stage $0.5300 $0.8200 $1.11 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $24.08 $32.11 $40.13 63
P/S Multiple $19.49 $25.99 $32.49 58
P/B Multiple $19.49 $25.99 $32.49 55
EV/EBIT $63.38 $82.12 $100.86 66
EV/EBITDA $59.39 $76.79 $94.20 67
EV/Revenue $47.29 $64.49 $81.68 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.58 $15.52 $23.16 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $122.32 $170.19 $234.41 79
Rev-Margin DCF $72.75 $98.55 $127.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.16 $18.72 $19.19 76
ROIC Compounder $38.24 $45.48 $53.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $19.11 $27.30 $35.49 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($106.19) versus Dividend Discount ($0.8200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 59.6
P/S ratio 0.87 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.46 price ÷ EPS = P/E 59.6
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 8.2%
Net margin 1.5% FY2025
Return on equity 11.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 4.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.5% 3y avg +13.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −9.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $567M FY2025
Net cash $299M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Tutor Perini Corporation, a construction company, provides diversified general contracting, construction management, and design-build services to private customers and public agencies in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors.

Full company description

Tutor Perini Corporation, a construction company, provides diversified general contracting, construction management, and design-build services to private customers and public agencies in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Civil, Building, and Specialty Contractors. The Civil segment engages in public works construction and the replacement and reconstruction of infrastructure; and offers civil contracting services, including construction and rehabilitation of highways, bridges, tunnels, mass-transit systems, military and other government facilities, and water management and wastewater treatment facilities, as well as provides drilling, foundation, and excavation support for shoring, bridges, piers, roads, and highway projects. The Building segment offers various specialized building markets, such as hospitality and gaming, transportation, healthcare, commercial offices, government facilities, sports and entertainment, education, correctional and detention facilities, biotech, pharmaceutical, industrial, and technology. The Specialty Contractors segment provides electrical, mechanical, plumbing, and fire protection systems, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning services (HVAC) for civil and building construction projects in industrial, commercial, hospitality and gaming, and mass-transit end markets. It also offers pre-construction planning and project management services comprising planning and scheduling of the manpower, equipment, materials, and subcontractor services; and self-performed construction services consisting of site work, concrete forming and placement, and steel erection. The company was formerly known as Perini Corporation and changed its name to Tutor Perini Corporation in May 2009. Tutor Perini Corporation was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Sylmar, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tutor Perini Corporation reported revenue of $5.5B in FY2025 versus $4.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was $80.4M in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.5B
Latest YoY
+28.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+0.7% (0.6 + 0.1)
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 $4.6B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $3.9B
FY24 $4.3B
FY25 $5.5B
Net income −3.3%/yr
FY21 $91.9M
FY22 −$210M
FY23 −$171M
FY24 −$164M
FY25 $80.4M

TPC screens 172% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tutor Perini Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TPC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 816 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 59.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.25× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.70× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 13.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.62× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 16
FUTURE58 · sector 11
PAST46 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND3 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 78/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

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Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
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Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
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MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.11 versus a price of $87.32, about −63% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TPC?
Our model-based fair value for Tutor Perini Corporation is $32.11 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $87.32.
What is the quality score of TPC?
Tutor Perini Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tutor Perini Corporation (TPC)?
Tutor Perini Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TPC?
The net profit margin of Tutor Perini Corporation is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tutor Perini Corporation pay a dividend?
Tutor Perini Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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