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SPIE SA (SPIE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · FR · Market cap €8.2B · ISIN FR0012757854

What is SPIE SA really worth?

SS SPIE SA SPIE · PA
Price€43.80
Fair Value€29.12
Upside−33.5%
Quality42/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 50% above our fair value of €29.12.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100

For context

·2.51% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range €17.36 – €40.89

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −6.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€40.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (€17.36 to €40.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€52.88 €16.51 Fair Value €29.12 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €16.51 – €52.88 · fair‑value band €17.36 – €40.89 · the €43.80 price screens above the €29.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

SPIE SA (SPIE) currently trades at €43.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €29.12, implying the stock looks roughly 50.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €49.62 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the €43.80 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €6.27, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, SPIE SA generated revenue of €10.5B at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at €2.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €17.36 (bear case) to €40.89 (bull case); at €43.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −34%, SPIE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €41.19 €64.74 €98.72 79
Growth DCF €41.96 €62.88 €91.32 78
Residual Income €10.62 €11.40 €12.60 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €41.19 €64.74 €98.72 79
Owner Earnings €29.40 €47.05 €72.53 75
5Y Revenue Exit €30.73 €49.20 €72.22 72
5Y EBITDA Exit €45.63 €76.76 €112.60 74
5Y P/E Exit €20.52 €30.30 €40.09 71
10Y Revenue Exit €33.30 €50.72 €73.12 66
10Y EBITDA Exit €43.47 €69.31 €102.95 68
10Y P/E Exit €27.89 €37.96 €49.39 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €7.10 €20.93 €27.68 65
Lynch FV €4.39 €6.27 €8.15 61
PEG = 1.0 €4.39 €6.27 €8.15 57
EPV €20.32 €24.47 €28.05 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.18 €18.28 €27.69 67
DDM Multi-Stage €9.18 €14.57 €19.30 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €16.45 €21.93 €27.41 63
P/S Multiple €13.31 €17.75 €22.19 58
P/B Multiple €13.31 €17.75 €22.19 55
EV/EBIT €39.34 €54.42 €69.51 66
EV/EBITDA €55.18 €75.55 €95.92 67
EV/Revenue €26.38 €40.22 €54.07 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €6.37 €8.54 €12.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €41.96 €62.88 €91.32 78
Rev-Margin DCF €30.73 €49.62 €71.16 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income €10.62 €11.40 €12.60 76
ROIC Compounder €21.66 €28.48 €36.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €13.35 €19.07 €24.79 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€49.62) versus Earnings-Based (€6.27). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 42.1
P/S ratio 0.71 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €1.04 price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.1
Dividend yield 2.5% payout 106%
Net margin 1.7% FY2025
Return on equity 8.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €10.5B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6% 3y avg +8.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −11.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €748M FY2025
Net debt €2.0B FY2025 · ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SPIE SA provides multi-technical services in the areas of energy and communications in France, Germany, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates through five segments: France, Germany, North-Western Europe, Central Europe, and Global Services Energy.

Full company description

SPIE SA provides multi-technical services in the areas of energy and communications in France, Germany, the Netherlands, and internationally. It operates through five segments: France, Germany, North-Western Europe, Central Europe, and Global Services Energy. The company provides design, ICT consultancy and engineering, installation, maintenance and maintenance durability, technical facility management, and managed services. It also offers E-Mobility, smart packing, barriers, smart FM 360, energy efficiency, modernization, maintid, fabloop, IoT and data management, control room, ergonomie, and cybersecurity products. SPIE SA was founded in 1900 and is headquartered in Cergy-Pontoise, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SPIE SA reported revenue of €10.4B in FY2025 versus €7.0B in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was €176M in FY2025, compounding +1.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€10.4B
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−20.6% (−23.1 + 2.5)
Revenue +10.4%/yr
FY21 €7.0B
FY22 €8.1B
FY23 €8.7B
FY24 €9.9B
FY25 €10.4B
Net income +1.1%/yr
FY21 €169M
FY22 €152M
FY23 €239M
FY24 €273M
FY25 €176M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −2.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −3.1 %

of which total revenue +7.4 % · buybacks/dilution −9.8 %

EBIT margin +0.4 %
Tax rate −0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SPIE screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Quanta Services, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SPIE SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPIE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 816 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside −34% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.83× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.91× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 16
FUTURE13 · sector 11
PAST33 · sector 26
HEALTH58 · sector 94
DIVIDEND50 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Quanta Services, Inc PWR $620.06 $143.92 −77%
Vinci SA DG €114.35 €185.62 +62%
Comfort Systems USA, Inc FIX $1,615 $519.97 −68%
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,072 ₹2,196 −46%
Ferrovial N.V FER €57.28 €19.17 −67%
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT €426.40 €203.87 −52%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 373,000 KRW 261,411 KRW −30%
EMCOR Group EME $775.04 $549.47 −29%
MasTec, Inc MTZ $241.00 $100.00 −59%
Bouygues SA EN €46.65 €65.67 +41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SPIE SA (SPIE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €29.12 versus a price of €43.80, about −34% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPIE?
Our model-based fair value for SPIE SA is €29.12 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €43.80.
What is the quality score of SPIE?
SPIE SA has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SPIE SA (SPIE)?
SPIE SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €10.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPIE?
The net profit margin of SPIE SA is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SPIE SA pay a dividend?
SPIE SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.51% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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