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Salem Media Group (SALM) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $30.1M

SM Salem Media Group logo Salem Media Group SALM · US
Price$0.9985
Fair Value$0.2400
Upside-76.0%
Quality27/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -14.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.2200 – $0.2700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.2000 to $0.2400 (+20.0%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.2700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.70 $0.1730 Fair Value $0.2400 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1730 – $4.70 · fair‑value band $0.2200 – $0.2700 · the $0.9985 price screens above the $0.2400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Salem Media Group (SALM) currently trades at $0.9985, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2400, implying the stock looks roughly 76.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Salem Media Group generated revenue of $207M at a net margin of -14.5%. Revenue declined 11.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -16.9%. Net debt stands at $8.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2200 (bear case) to $0.2700 (bull case); at $0.9985, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 177% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at -76%, SALM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.1800 $0.1900 $0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1800 $0.2100 $0.2400 61
NCAV (Graham) $3.40 $4.56 $6.80 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.1800 $0.1900 $0.2100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.1800 $0.2100 $0.2400 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.40 $4.56 $6.80 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($4.56) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1900). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $207M
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.2%
Net margin -14.5%
Return on equity -16.9%
Free cash flow −$11.9M FY2025
Operating margin -7.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.49
EPS growth (YoY) +9,973%
Net debt $8.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Salem Media Group, Inc. operates as a multimedia company in the United States. The company owns and operates radio stations. Its digital media business provides Christian, conservative, investing, retirement, e-commerce, audio and video streaming, and other resources digitally through the web, as well as through mobile applications.

Full company description

Salem Media Group, Inc. operates as a multimedia company in the United States. The company owns and operates radio stations. Its digital media business provides Christian, conservative, investing, retirement, e-commerce, audio and video streaming, and other resources digitally through the web, as well as through mobile applications. The company was formerly known as Salem Communications Corporation and changed its name to Salem Media Group, Inc. in February 2015. Salem Media Group, Inc. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Camarillo, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Salem Media Group reported revenue of $213M in FY2025 versus $258M in FY2021, a compound −4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$34.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$213M
Latest YoY
−10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.8%
Revenue −4.7%/yr
FY21 $258M
FY22 $267M
FY23 $259M
FY24 $238M
FY25 $213M
Net income
FY21 $41.5M
FY22 −$3.2M
FY23 −$43.3M
FY24 $16.2M
FY25 −$34.6M

SALM screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Nexstar Media Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Salem Media Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SALM

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 67 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -15% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -7% · Below median
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 3.69× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 32
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 3
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $185.14 $151.97 -18%
SES S.A SESG €5.43 €18.90 +248%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 500.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +119%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.62 €5.38 +49%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.10 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹487.90 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.43 SAR 19.24 SAR -6%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €12.04 €15.96 +33%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.15 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 200.00 IDR 198.19 IDR -1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Salem Media Group (SALM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2400 versus a price of $0.9985, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SALM?
Our model-based fair value for Salem Media Group is $0.2400 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.9985.
What is the quality score of SALM?
Salem Media Group has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Salem Media Group (SALM)?
Salem Media Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $207M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SALM?
The net profit margin of Salem Media Group is about -14.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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