MBC Group (4072) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SA · Market cap 6.7B SAR
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 19.56 SAR to 19.24 SAR (−1.6%) since Jul 31, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 14.43 SAR (bear) to 24.05 SAR (bull), base 19.24 SAR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range 20.06 SAR – 79.90 SAR · fair‑value band 14.43 SAR – 24.05 SAR · the 20.43 SAR price screens above the 19.24 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
MBC Group (4072) currently trades at 20.43 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 19.24 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, MBC Group generated revenue of 4.9B SAR at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue declined 22.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.3B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 14.43 SAR (bear case) to 24.05 SAR (bull case); at 20.43 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at -6%, 4072 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (37.93 SAR) versus Asset-Based (9.17 SAR). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform.
Full company description
MBC Group operates as a media company in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Iraq, North Africa, and internationally. It operates free-to-air TV channels and radio stations, such as MBC1, MBC2, MBC3, MBC4, MBC5, MBC MASR, MBC IRAQ, and MBC LOUD FM, as well as MBC SHAHID, an Arabic streaming platform. The company is also involved in production and post-production of television programs; acquisition of television content for resale; music label and rights management; management and development of artistic and entertainment talents; events and exhibitions management; and management of real estate properties owned and leased. In addition, it engages in managing distribution contracts; brokerage, production, and distribution of artwork; and production of television, cinema, broadcasting, and media arts works; MBC ACADEMY, an educational and training platform; music publishing, and touring and merchandising services; and WIZZO, a mobile gaming app comprising esports events and a local gaming network. Further, the company provides FlashWin, a web-based game; and broadcasting services, broadcast support services, event management services, advertising services, technical support services, and commerce services, including technical management of websites and mobile applications. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MBC Group reported revenue of 5.4B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was 383M SAR in FY2025, compounding −15.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Broadcasting · 66 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nexstar Media Group NXST | $185.14 | $151.97 | -18% |
| SES S.A SESG | €5.43 | €18.90 | +248% |
| PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK | 500.00 IDR | 1,094 IDR | +119% |
| MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB | €3.62 | €5.38 | +49% |
| Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 | ¥3.10 | ¥1.14 | -63% |
| Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV | ₹487.90 | ₹586.58 | +20% |
| Métropole Télévision S.A MMT | €12.04 | €15.96 | +33% |
| Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 | ¥7.15 | ¥3.64 | -49% |
| PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA | 200.00 IDR | 198.19 IDR | -1% |
| Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL | ₹97.52 | ₹53.22 | -45% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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