Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $5.1B · ISIN US0959241060
What is Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. really worth?
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
OTF · US
Below-average quality, trading 34% below our fair value of $17.37.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +6.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (15 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
15‑month range $9.87 – $14.26 · fair‑value band $12.54 – $21.72 · the $11.43 price screens below the $17.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. (OTF) currently trades at $11.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.37, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $55.03 per share, and 11 of the 11 models we run sit above the $11.43 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $11.76, and 0 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue grew 78.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at $6.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.54 (bear case) to $21.72 (bull case); at $11.43, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 52%, OTF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($55.03) versus Asset-Based ($11.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company specializes in upper middle-market, making debt and equity investments such as senior secured or unsecured loans, subordinated loans or mezzanine loans and equity-related securities including common equity, warrants, preferred stock and similar forms of senior equity, finance and business …
Full company description
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is a business development company specializes in upper middle-market, making debt and equity investments such as senior secured or unsecured loans, subordinated loans or mezzanine loans and equity-related securities including common equity, warrants, preferred stock and similar forms of senior equity, finance and business development company. The firm prefers to invest in technology and software companies. It primarily makes investments in the United States. Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. is founded in 2018 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $537M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was $720M in FY2025, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Blackstone, Blue Owl Funds Upsize Bond Sales After Third-Quarter Lull in Private Credit Issuance
- Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. Announces June 30, 2026 Financial Results
- Shareholder Alert: Ademi LLP Investigates Claims of Securities Fraud against Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
- Here’s What You Need to Know About Blue Owl Technology (OTF)
Peer Group
Asset Management · 697 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackstone Inc BX | $142.39 | $52.88 | −63% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.20 | kr 824.66 | +98% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$55.74 | C$10.67 | −81% |
| KKR & Co KKR | $108.68 | $19.97 | −82% |
| Apollo Global Management, Inc APO | $135.04 | $101.04 | −25% |
| State Street Corporation STT | $193.33 | $138.33 | −28% |
| Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP | $559.32 | $515.24 | −8% |
| Ares Management Corporation ARES | $143.10 | $30.88 | −78% |
| Northern Trust Corporation NTRS | $186.79 | $122.02 | −35% |
| Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF | $181.10 | $142.42 | −21% |
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