Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.8B
Old Republic International Corporation
ORI · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $49.97 to $39.66 (−20.6%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.72 – $44.59 · fair‑value band $29.74 – $49.57 · the $42.76 price screens above the $39.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Old Republic International Corporation (ORI) currently trades at $42.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.66, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Old Republic International Corporation generated revenue of $9.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 13.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.3%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $29.74 (bear case) to $49.57 (bull case); at $42.76, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -7%, ORI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($33.99) versus Asset-Based ($16.27). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance.
Full company description
Old Republic International Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides insurance underwriting and related services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Specialty Insurance and Title Insurance. The Specialty Insurance segment provides lines of coverages, such as accident and health, aviation, commercial auto, commercial multi-peril, commercial property, cyber, environmental, excess and surplus, home and auto warranty, automobile extended warranty, general liability, inland marine, travel accident, and workers' compensation, as well as financial indemnity, including directors and officers, errors and omissions, fidelity, and surety coverages. This segment offers its products to transportation, commercial construction, healthcare, education, retail and wholesale trade, forest products, energy, general manufacturing, and financial services industries. The Title Insurance segment insures against losses arising out of defects, liens and encumbrances affecting the insured title to real estate purchasers and investors. This segment also provides escrow closing and construction disbursement services; and real estate information products; national default management services; and various other services pertaining to real estate transfers and loan transactions. The company was founded in 1923 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Old Republic International Corporation reported revenue of $9.1B in FY2025 versus $9.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.7%/yr. Reported net income was $936M in FY2025, compounding −11.6%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch ORI: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OLD REPUBLIC ANNOUNCES STRATEGIC HIRE AT OLD REPUBLIC EXCESS & SURPLUS
- 5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Old Republic International’s Q2 Earnings Call
- Old Republic International (ORI) Stock Looks Reasonable On Its 153% Run
- Does Mixed Q2 Results And Buybacks Change The Bull Case For Old Republic International (ORI)?
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 119 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $207.37 | $160.25 | -23% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $343.33 | $234.73 | -32% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $370.16 | $274.42 | -26% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $255.84 | $316.11 | +24% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.61 | +66% |
| PICC Property and Casualty Company 2328 | HK$15.52 | HK$22.28 | +44% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$274.14 | C$167.46 | -39% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,293 | C$2,291 | -0% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 628,000 KRW | 698,407 KRW | +11% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 72.14 PLN | 73.80 PLN | +2% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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