The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $64.8B · ISIN US0200021014
What is The Allstate Corporation really worth?
A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of $316.11.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price +0.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $94.78 – $275.11 · fair‑value band $237.08 – $395.14 · the $263.11 price screens below the $316.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
The Allstate Corporation (ALL) currently trades at $263.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $316.11, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $476.40 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $263.11 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $61.20, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Allstate Corporation generated revenue of $68.2B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.2%. Net debt stands at $6.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $237.08 (bear case) to $395.14 (bull case); at $263.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 20%, ALL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $27.82 per share, which is 8.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($476.40) versus Dividend Discount ($61.20). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other.
Full company description
The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers private passenger auto, homeowners, other personal lines and commercial insurance through exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers and online under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto and Answer Financial brands. It also provides consumer product protection plans, device and mobile data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, roadside assistance, and protection plans; and insurance products, such as identity protection and restoration. In addition, the company offers property and casualty insurance, as well as engages in company activities and certain non-insurance operations, including expenses associated with strategic initiatives. Further, it offers automotive protection; vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tires and wheels, and paintless dent repair protection; and roadside assistance, mobility data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, identity theft protection, and remediation services. The Allstate Corporation was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Allstate Corporation reported revenue of $66.5B in FY2025 versus $50.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $10.3B in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.5 % · buybacks/dilution +4.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 117 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $217.65 | $160.25 | −26% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $338.31 | $234.73 | −31% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $369.90 | $274.42 | −26% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.14 | ¥11.61 | +63% |
| PICC Property and Casualty Company 2328 | HK$15.25 | HK$22.27 | +46% |
| Intact Financial Corporation IFC | C$274.14 | C$167.46 | −39% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,281 | C$2,926 | +28% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$22.62 | A$14.20 | −37% |
| Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF | $171.97 | $166.34 | −3% |
| W. R. Berkley Corporation WRB | $69.50 | $47.08 | −32% |
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