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The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $64.8B · ISIN US0200021014

What is The Allstate Corporation really worth?

TA The Allstate Corporation logo The Allstate Corporation ALL · US
Price$263.11
Fair Value$316.11
Upside+20.1%
Quality68/100

A solid business, trading 17% below our fair value of $316.11.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +8.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 17.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/15)
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Weak on future: 15 out of 100

For context

·1.55% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $237.08 – $395.14

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price +0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$275.11 $94.78 Fair Value $316.11 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $94.78 – $275.11 · fair‑value band $237.08 – $395.14 · the $263.11 price screens below the $316.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

The Allstate Corporation (ALL) currently trades at $263.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $316.11, implying the stock looks roughly 16.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $476.40 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $263.11 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $61.20, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Allstate Corporation generated revenue of $68.2B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 3.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.2%. Net debt stands at $6.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $237.08 (bear case) to $395.14 (bull case); at $263.11, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 20%, ALL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $27.82 per share, which is 8.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $41.13 $72.02 $110.62 67
DDM Multi-Stage $41.13 $61.20 $83.27 66
Residual Income $305.80 $476.40 $5,679 64
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $41.13 $72.02 $110.62 67
DDM Multi-Stage $41.13 $61.20 $83.27 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $389.44 $519.25 $649.06 63
P/B Multiple $124.86 $166.47 $208.09 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $59.46 $79.67 $118.91 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $305.80 $476.40 $5,679 64

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($476.40) versus Dividend Discount ($61.20). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 5.8
P/S ratio 0.90 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $45.19 price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.8
Dividend yield 1.6% payout 9.0%
Net margin 15.5% FY2025
Return on equity 45.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 19.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $68.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.0% 3y avg +8.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +338%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $9.9B FY2025
Net debt $6.8B FY2025 · ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 64
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other.

Full company description

The Allstate Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty, and other insurance products in the United States and Canada. It operates in four segments: Allstate Protection; Run-off Property-Liability; Protection Services; and Corporate and Other. The company offers private passenger auto, homeowners, other personal lines and commercial insurance through exclusive agents, independent agents, contact centers and online under the Allstate, National General, Direct Auto and Answer Financial brands. It also provides consumer product protection plans, device and mobile data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, roadside assistance, and protection plans; and insurance products, such as identity protection and restoration. In addition, the company offers property and casualty insurance, as well as engages in company activities and certain non-insurance operations, including expenses associated with strategic initiatives. Further, it offers automotive protection; vehicle service contracts, guaranteed asset protection, road hazard tires and wheels, and paintless dent repair protection; and roadside assistance, mobility data collection services, and analytic solutions using automotive telematics information, identity theft protection, and remediation services. The Allstate Corporation was founded in 1931 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Allstate Corporation reported revenue of $66.5B in FY2025 versus $50.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was $10.3B in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$66.5B
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+18.7% (17.1 + 1.6)
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 $50.6B
FY22 $51.4B
FY23 $56.6B
FY24 $63.5B
FY25 $66.5B
Net income +18.8%/yr
FY21 $5.2B
FY22 −$1.4B
FY23 −$188M
FY24 $4.7B
FY25 $10.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +18.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.4 %

of which total revenue +6.5 % · buybacks/dilution +4.6 %

EBIT margin +4.5 %
Tax rate +1.7 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Allstate Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALL

Peer Group

Insurance - Property & Casualty · 117 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 45% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE60 · sector 22
FUTURE15 · sector 32
PAST100 · sector 56
HEALTH88 · sector 92
DIVIDEND31 · sector 50

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Progressive Corporation PGR $217.65 $160.25 −26%
Chubb Limited CB $338.31 $234.73 −31%
The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV $369.90 $274.42 −26%
The People's Insurance Company 601319 ¥7.14 ¥11.61 +63%
PICC Property and Casualty Company 2328 HK$15.25 HK$22.27 +46%
Intact Financial Corporation IFC C$274.14 C$167.46 −39%
Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH C$2,281 C$2,926 +28%
QBE Insurance Group QBE A$22.62 A$14.20 −37%
Cincinnati Financial Corporation CINF $171.97 $166.34 −3%
W. R. Berkley Corporation WRB $69.50 $47.08 −32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Allstate Corporation (ALL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $316.11 versus a price of $263.11, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALL?
Our model-based fair value for The Allstate Corporation is $316.11 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $263.11.
What is the quality score of ALL?
The Allstate Corporation has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Allstate Corporation (ALL)?
The Allstate Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $68.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALL?
The net profit margin of The Allstate Corporation is about 17.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Allstate Corporation pay a dividend?
The Allstate Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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