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Nippon Television Holdings Inc (NPTVF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $4.5B

What is Nippon Television Holdings Inc really worth?

NT Nippon Television Holdings Inc logo Nippon Television Holdings Inc NPTVF · US
Price from Aug 28, 2026$18.16
Fair Value$23.76
Upside+30.9%
Quality63/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $23.76.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)

Risks

!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 24 out of 100

For context

·1.57% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $17.21 – $32.81

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 29, 2026, revised from $24.15 to $23.76 (−1.6%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($17.21 to $32.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.73 $7.00 Fair Value $23.76 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.00 – $24.73 · fair‑value band $17.21 – $32.81 · the $18.16 price screens below the $23.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Nippon Television Holdings Inc (NPTVF) currently trades at $18.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $23.76, implying the stock looks roughly 23.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $25.17 per share, and 19 of the 22 models we run sit above the $18.16 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $14.12, and 3 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nippon Television Holdings Inc generated revenue of $484B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $88.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $17.21 (bear case) to $32.81 (bull case); at $18.16, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 31%, NPTVF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $15.82 $20.74 $27.95 81
Growth DCF $16.24 $20.90 $27.39 80
Owner Earnings $17.89 $23.56 $31.88 77
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $15.82 $20.74 $27.95 81
Owner Earnings $17.89 $23.56 $31.88 77
5Y Revenue Exit $16.69 $23.76 $32.83 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $17.48 $25.14 $34.02 76
5Y P/E Exit $20.21 $29.87 $39.87 71
10Y Revenue Exit $15.80 $21.89 $29.11 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $16.71 $22.79 $29.92 69
10Y P/E Exit $18.36 $25.87 $33.93 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.75 $19.30 $24.20 66
EPV $12.52 $14.12 $15.50 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.67 $31.55 $39.44 63
P/S Multiple $18.29 $24.38 $30.48 58
P/B Multiple $18.29 $24.38 $30.48 55
EV/EBIT $23.42 $30.42 $37.43 66
EV/EBITDA $20.96 $27.15 $33.34 67
EV/Revenue $18.34 $25.17 $32.00 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.57 $16.84 $25.14 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $16.24 $20.90 $27.39 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.69 $23.95 $31.92 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $19.35 $19.72 $19.29 71
ROIC Compounder $12.52 $14.12 $15.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $17.07 $24.38 $31.70 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($25.17) versus Earnings-Based ($14.12). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.9
P/S ratio 1.51 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.41 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.9
Dividend yield 1.6% payout 20.2%
Net margin 11.7% FY2026
Return on equity 6.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $484B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.0% 3y avg +5.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −39.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $54.3B FY2026
Net cash $88.2B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 87
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed …

Full company description

Nippon Television Holdings, Inc. operates as a media and content company in Japan. The company engages in the production of broadcasting programs; digital broadcasting; technical production related to studios, live broadcasting, master technology, EJ news gathering, editing, postproduction, animations, etc.; and programming, content production, closed captioning, library, etc. It is also involved in sporting and NTV events; the management of NTV school; art design, and lighting and sound effects; design of sets, flip charts, and TV graphics; production of pamphlets, posters, etc.; intellectual property management; management of music publishing, CD master, and merchandising rights; production CDs and DVDs; rental of recording studios; and operation of fitness clubs, museums, and insurance agencies. In addition, the company engages in the production and construction of exhibitions, sales promotion events, international sports events, theme parks, amusement facilities, national ceremonies, etc.; production of program-related merchandise goods; construction management, printing, and renewable energy business; ICT, development of apps for business, web development, video streaming, infrastructure solutions, and advertising; production of animation, TV programs, commercial films, graphic designs, illustrations, characters, and other content; copyright management; and internet content streaming. Further, it engages in the provision of software and systems for VOD and live streaming platforms and players; news gathering, reporting, and production of information, sports programs, etc.; gathering and analysis of international media news; shooting, engineering; 3D computer graphics; services to program and technology production, clerical, and management duties; e-commerce, esports, and talent production agency businesses; contractual production; and influencers network and production business. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nippon Television Holdings Inc reported revenue of $487B in FY2026 versus $406B in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $57.1B in FY2026, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$487B
Latest YoY
+5.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.5% (13.9 + 1.6)
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY22 $406B
FY23 $414B
FY24 $424B
FY25 $462B
FY26 $487B
Net income +4.8%/yr
FY22 $47.4B
FY23 $34.1B
FY24 $34.7B
FY25 $46.0B
FY26 $57.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nippon Television Holdings Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NPTVF

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 64 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 52
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST24 · sector 2
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND31 · sector 84

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $177.84 $151.97 −15%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 500.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +119%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.62 €5.38 +49%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.10 ¥1.14 −63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹487.90 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.41 SAR 19.24 SAR −6%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €12.04 €15.96 +33%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.07 ¥3.63 −49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 216.00 IDR 198.19 IDR −8%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited ZEEL ₹104.65 ₹48.34 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nippon Television Holdings Inc (NPTVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $23.76 versus the last price from Aug 28, 2026 of $18.16, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NPTVF?
Our model-based fair value for Nippon Television Holdings Inc is $23.76 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 28, 2026): $18.16.
What is the quality score of NPTVF?
Nippon Television Holdings Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nippon Television Holdings Inc (NPTVF)?
Nippon Television Holdings Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $484B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NPTVF?
The net profit margin of Nippon Television Holdings Inc is about 11.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nippon Television Holdings Inc pay a dividend?
Nippon Television Holdings Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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